Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
304K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+27.0
TURNOUT
57.5%
#13 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$94K
COLLEGE+
38%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 37pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 106.8pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.