Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
129K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+37.5
TURNOUT
47.1%
#58 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$58K
COLLEGE+
23%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 52pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 114.1pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 23% college+ (-12pp vs national)