How did Fort Smith, AR-OK vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fort Smith, AR-OK voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+47.7. Kamala D Harris received 21,312 votes and Donald Trump received 61,825 out of 84,869 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fort Smith, AR-OK's political history?

Fort Smith, AR-OK has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 61.7 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Fort Smith, AR-OK?

Fort Smith, AR-OK has a population of 229,899 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 68.7% non-Hispanic white, 12.1% Hispanic, 3.6% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $58,281.

Which places are most similar to Fort Smith, AR-OK?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Fort Smith, AR-OK are Joplin, MO-KS, St. Joseph, MO-KS, Ontario, OR-ID. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Fort Smith, AR-OK

Latest: 2024↓ R+2.2 vs 2020

Safe Republican — 230K residents — 3 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.7%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	12.1%
▶Black / African American(5)	3.6%
▶Asian(6)	2.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	3.9%
Multiracial / Other	8.7%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	40.0%	71.0%
Catholic	6.3%	11.2%
Mainline Protestant	5.3%	9.4%
Other	3.6%	6.3%
LDS (Mormon)	1.7%	3.0%
Black Protestant	1.1%	1.9%
Non-religious	43.7%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+47.7
2020	Trump+45.5
2016	Trump+46.5
2012	Romney+40.8
2008	McCain+37.9
2004	Bush+25.7
2000	Bush+19.5
1996	Dole+0.7
1992	Clinton+1.0

View full election history →

Fort Smith, AR-OK is a metro area that has a population of 229,899. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+47.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Fort Smith, AR-OK Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	25.1%	72.8%	R+47.7	R+2.2
2020	26.0%	71.5%	R+45.5	D+1.0
2016	25.0%	71.5%	R+46.5	R+5.7
2012	28.5%	69.3%	R+40.8	R+2.9
2008	30.1%	68.0%	R+37.9	R+12.2
2004	36.7%	62.4%	R+25.7	R+6.2
2000	38.9%	58.4%	R+19.5	R+18.7
1996	44.1%	44.9%	R+0.7	R+1.7
1992	42.3%	41.3%	D+1.0	D+37.2
1988	31.4%	67.6%	R+36.2	D+10.2
1984	26.2%	72.7%	R+46.4	R+15.5
1980	31.3%	62.2%	R+30.9	R+33.2
1976	51.0%	48.8%	D+2.2	D+61.7
1972	20.0%	79.4%	R+59.4	R+42.5
1968	25.1%	42.1%	R+16.9	R+14.0
1964	48.4%	51.3%	R+3.0	D+11.7
1960	42.2%	56.8%	R+14.6	R+5.2
1956	45.0%	54.5%	R+9.4	R+3.4
1952	46.9%	52.9%	R+6.0	R+34.6
1948	61.4%	32.8%	D+28.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Fort Smith, AR-OK?

It has a working-class electorate (21% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Joplin, MO-KS

Small-town rural republican 3

R+51.1

Similarity score93%

St. Joseph, MO-KS

Small-town rural republican 3

Small-town rural republican 3

R+49.8

Similarity score89%

Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.4

Similarity score88%

Bluefield, WV-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+62.5

Similarity score86%

Wheeling, WV-OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+41.5

Similarity score86%

Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA

Small-town rural republican 3

R+57.5

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fort Smith, AR-OK

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Sebastian	129K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	53.6%
Crawford	61K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	28.1%
Sequoyah	40K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	18.4%

3 countiesTotal votes: 84,869

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fort Smith, AR-OK's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fort Smith, AR-OK metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 47.7% margin
College attainment is 21% — 12pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fort Smith, AR-OKCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 68.7%Hispanic 12.1%Multiracial 8.7%Native American 3.9%Black 3.6%Asian 2.9%

Group	Fort Smith, AR-OK	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(13)	12.1%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	8.7%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	3.9%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(5)	3.6%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.9%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

56.3%(129.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -64.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	40.0%	71.0%	—	—
Catholic	6.3%	11.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.3%	9.4%	—	—
Other	3.6%	6.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.7%	3.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.1%	1.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	43.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Fort Smith, AR-OK metro area? 229,899 residents across 3 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Fort Smith, AR-OK vs National230K residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

230K

local

230KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.07%

local

0.07%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.9%

local

74.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$58,281

local

$58,281National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.4%

local

16.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.0%

local

21.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.6%

local

66.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.8 yrs

local

38.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.8%

local

14.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.5%

local

17.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.6%

local

6.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.2%

local

88.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fort Smith, AR-OK

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

49.3%

vs Previous

-1.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

172,226

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Fort Smith, AR-OK?

Safe RAvg margin: R+46.6 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+37.9

2012

R+40.8

2016

R+46.5

2020

R+45.5

2024

R+47.7

Elasticity

9.8pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+43.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fort Smith, AR-OK split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+52.5	R+40.6	11.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 29.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fort Smith, AR-OK sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)Oklahoma(State)

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