Competitive — shifted 15.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024
2008
D+8.3
Obama
2012
D+8.7
2016
D+12.1
Clinton
2020
D+10.6
Biden
2024
R+4.4
Trump
Who lives here
Economy & age
Faith & language
47% English only53% Non-English