Safe Democratic — shifted 5.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 31.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 12.5% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 52.7% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.5% | 42.1% |
| Black Protestant | 20.7% | 35.5% |
| Catholic | 4.9% | 8.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.8% | 8.3% |
| Other | 3.2% | 5.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.3% |
| Non-religious | 41.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+30.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+36.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+37.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+40.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+38.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+39.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+33.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+39.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+31.3 |
Gadsden, Florida is a county that has a population of 43,710. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+30.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64.9% | 34.3% | D+30.7 | R+5.9 |
| 2020 | 68.0% | 31.4% | D+36.6 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 67.9% | 30.4% | D+37.5 | R+3.1 |
| 2012 | 70.0% | 29.4% | D+40.6 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 69.1% | 30.2% | D+38.9 | R+1.0 |
| 2004 | 69.7% | 29.8% | D+39.9 | D+6.2 |
| 2000 | 66.1% | 32.4% | D+33.7 | R+5.7 |
| 1996 | 66.3% | 26.9% | D+39.4 | D+8.0 |
| 1992 | 59.0% | 27.6% | D+31.3 | D+28.3 |
| 1988 | 50.7% | 47.6% | D+3.0 | R+9.1 |
| 1984 | 56.0% | 44.0% | D+12.1 | R+24.8 |
| 1980 | 67.3% | 30.4% | D+36.8 | D+5.5 |
| 1976 | 65.2% | 33.9% | D+31.3 | D+53.4 |
| 1972 | 39.0% | 61.0% | R+22.0 | R+43.4 |
| 1968 | 36.1% | 14.8% | D+21.4 | D+28.1 |
| 1964 | 46.7% | 53.3% | R+6.7 | R+14.3 |
| 1960 | 53.8% | 46.2% | D+7.7 | R+18.4 |
| 1956 | 62.7% | 36.6% | D+26.1 | D+6.9 |
| 1952 | 59.6% | 40.4% | D+19.2 | R+18.3 |
| 1948 | 50.9% | 13.4% | D+37.5 | — |
Gadsden has been trending Republican — 10pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%