Tallahassee, FL
Leans Democratic — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 392K residents — 4 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.2% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 31.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.5% | 51.8% |
| Black Protestant | 8.4% | 17.9% |
| Catholic | 5.8% | 12.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.1% | 10.8% |
| Other | 3.3% | 7.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 52.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+14.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+21.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+20.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+20.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+22.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+20.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+19.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.9 |
Tallahassee, FL is a metro area that has a population of 391,730. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+14.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.8% | 42.1% | D+14.7 | R+7.1 |
| 2020 | 60.4% | 38.5% | D+21.8 | D+1.6 |
| 2016 | 58.3% | 38.0% | D+20.3 | R+0.5 |
| 2012 | 59.8% | 39.0% | D+20.8 | R+0.7 |
| 2008 | 60.2% | 38.8% | D+21.4 | R+1.0 |
| 2004 | 60.9% | 38.5% | D+22.4 | D+1.8 |
| 2000 | 59.1% | 38.5% | D+20.6 | D+1.5 |
| 1996 | 55.2% | 36.1% | D+19.1 | D+2.2 |
| 1992 | 49.5% | 32.5% | D+16.9 | D+21.3 |
| 1988 | 47.3% | 51.7% | R+4.4 | D+3.4 |
| 1984 | 46.1% | 53.9% | R+7.8 | R+19.1 |
| 1980 | 52.7% | 41.4% | D+11.3 | R+2.6 |
| 1976 | 56.1% | 42.1% | D+13.9 | D+42.8 |
| 1972 | 35.5% | 64.3% | R+28.9 | R+37.1 |
| 1968 | 32.3% | 24.1% | D+8.3 | D+21.9 |
| 1964 | 43.2% | 56.8% | R+13.6 | R+24.6 |
| 1960 | 55.5% | 44.5% | D+11.0 | R+0.9 |
| 1956 | 55.7% | 43.8% | D+11.9 | R+9.3 |
| 1952 | 60.6% | 39.4% | D+21.2 | R+21.5 |
| 1948 | 57.7% | 15.0% | D+42.7 | — |
What defines Tallahassee, FL?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Tallahassee, FL
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- College attainment is 42% — 9pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
- Swung 7.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Tallahassee, FL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 31.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -44.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.5% | 51.8% | — | — | |
| 8.4% | 17.9% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 12.3% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 10.8% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 7.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.9% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tallahassee, FL metro area? 391,730 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Tallahassee, FL
How competitive is Tallahassee, FL?
Do voters in Tallahassee, FL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+14.7 | D+9.6 | 5.1pp |