Monroe County, Florida
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 10.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 24.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 7.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 33.8% | 64.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.6% | 18.4% |
| Other | 3.7% | 7.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 6.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| Non-religious | 47.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+18.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+6.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+0.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+4.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+0.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.9 |
Monroe, Florida is a county that has a population of 81,860. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+18.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.5% | 58.8% | R+18.3 | R+10.4 |
| 2020 | 45.6% | 53.5% | R+7.9 | R+1.0 |
| 2016 | 44.7% | 51.6% | R+6.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2012 | 49.6% | 49.1% | D+0.4 | R+4.5 |
| 2008 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.9 | D+4.4 |
| 2004 | 49.7% | 49.2% | D+0.5 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 48.6% | 47.4% | D+1.3 | R+8.5 |
| 1996 | 46.9% | 37.1% | D+9.8 | D+7.8 |
| 1992 | 36.3% | 34.4% | D+1.9 | D+23.8 |
| 1988 | 38.5% | 60.3% | R+21.9 | D+13.6 |
| 1984 | 32.2% | 67.7% | R+35.5 | R+18.4 |
| 1980 | 36.3% | 53.4% | R+17.1 | R+31.5 |
| 1976 | 56.1% | 41.7% | D+14.4 | D+59.0 |
| 1972 | 27.6% | 72.2% | R+44.6 | R+47.5 |
| 1968 | 37.1% | 34.2% | D+3.0 | R+26.8 |
| 1964 | 64.9% | 35.1% | D+29.7 | R+4.5 |
| 1960 | 67.1% | 32.9% | D+34.2 | D+21.3 |
| 1956 | 56.4% | 43.5% | D+12.9 | R+12.4 |
| 1952 | 62.7% | 37.3% | D+25.3 | R+46.0 |
| 1948 | 83.5% | 12.2% | D+71.3 | — |
What defines Monroe?
Monroe has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County in State Context
Current Florida Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Florida Senate General Election
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
2 pollsLow
Field Preview
2026 Florida Governor General Election
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%
3 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2012 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
- Swung 10.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
Located In
Monroe sits inside these higher-level geographies.