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Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Latest: 2024↓ R+16.2 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 16.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 4.8M residents — 3 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
20.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)
53.5%
▶Black / African American(13)
20.1%
▶Asian(6)
2.5%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
1.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.2%
Multiracial / Other
2.8%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Catholic25.1%52.5%
Evangelical Protestant14.3%30.0%
Other4.4%9.3%
Black Protestant2.3%4.8%
Mainline Protestant1.5%3.1%
LDS (Mormon)0.5%1.1%
Orthodox Christian0.2%0.3%
Non-religious52.2%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Harris+0.7
2020Biden+17.0
2016Clinton+31.3
2012Obama+28.2
2008Obama+24.2
2004Kerry+17.0
2000Gore+20.2
1996Clinton+32.2
1992Clinton+18.2
View full election history →

Miami-Fort Lauderdale is a media market that has a population of 4,797,345. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+0.7. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.

Miami-Fort Lauderdale Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202450.0%49.2%D+0.7R+16.2
202058.2%41.2%D+17.0R+14.3
201664.5%33.3%D+31.3D+3.0
201263.8%35.6%D+28.2D+4.1
200861.8%37.6%D+24.2D+7.2
200458.1%41.1%D+17.0R+3.2
200059.4%39.2%D+20.2R+12.0
199659.8%27.6%D+32.2D+14.0
199246.6%28.4%D+18.2D+19.9
198848.9%50.6%R+1.7D+12.8
198442.8%57.2%R+14.5D+5.7
198035.7%55.8%R+20.1R+25.1
197651.8%46.8%D+5.0D+50.0
197227.3%72.4%R+45.1R+21.7
196829.6%53.1%R+23.4R+15.8
196446.2%53.8%R+7.6D+5.8
196043.3%56.7%R+13.4D+24.9
195630.7%69.0%R+38.3R+10.9
195236.3%63.7%R+27.4R+28.9
194845.2%43.6%D+1.6—
Political Identity

What defines Miami-Fort Lauderdale?

It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Miami-Fort Lauderdale

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Miami-Dade2.7M
R+11.4
480,355605,5901,094,10554.4%
Broward2.0M
D+17.0
507,328358,952874,53943.4%
Monroe82K
R+18.3
17,93326,06444,3282.2%
3 countiesTotal votes: 2,012,972
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Miami-Fort Lauderdale's political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
  • The 2024 election was decided by just 0.7 points — razor-thin
  • Swung 16.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Miami-Fort LauderdaleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
Hispanic 53.5%White (Non-Hispanic) 20.9%Black 20.1%Multiracial 2.8%Asian 2.5%
GroupLocalNational
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)
53.5%19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
20.9%57.4%
▶Black / African American(13)
20.1%12.2%
Multiracial / Other
2.8%4.0%
▶Asian(6)
2.5%6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
1.1%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.2%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
47.8%(2.3M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +18.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
25.1%52.5%——
Evangelical Protestant
14.3%30.0%——
Other
4.4%9.3%——
Black Protestant
2.3%4.8%——
Mainline Protestant
1.5%3.1%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.5%1.1%——
Orthodox Christian
0.2%0.3%——
Non-religiousPopulation
52.2%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale media market? 4,797,345 residents across 3 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Miami-Fort Lauderdale vs National4.8M residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.8M
local
4.8MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.43%
local
1.43%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
78.4%
local
78.4%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$74,578
local
$74,578National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.6%
local
13.6%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
35.4%
local
35.4%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
57.4%
local
57.4%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
41.1 yrs
local
41.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.2%
local
14.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
17.5%
local
17.5%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
46.7%
local
46.7%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
61.4%
local
61.4%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
38.6%
local
38.6%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
53.5%
vs Previous
-4.0pp
Voting-Age Pop
3,762,601
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Miami-Fort Lauderdale?

Safe DAvg margin: D+16.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+24.2
2012
D+28.2
2016
D+31.3
2020
D+17.0
2024
D+0.7
Elasticity
30.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+20.3
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Miami-Fort Lauderdale split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyModerate splitting (61/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+0.7D+3.02.2pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 8.3pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Miami-Fort Lauderdale sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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