Jerome County, Idaho
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 27 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 56.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 39.2% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.1% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 19.8% | 62.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 19.7% | 62.8% |
| Catholic | 7.3% | 23.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.9% | 12.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 68.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+53.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+49.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+46.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+45.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+58.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+50.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+27.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+18.4 |
Jerome, Idaho is a county that has a population of 25,173. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+53.9. Akashic Edge tracks 27 presidential elections here, dating back to 1920.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.0% | 75.8% | R+53.9 | R+4.7 |
| 2020 | 24.2% | 73.4% | R+49.2 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 19.7% | 68.8% | R+49.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2012 | 25.3% | 71.5% | R+46.2 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 26.2% | 71.5% | R+45.3 | D+12.9 |
| 2004 | 20.4% | 78.7% | R+58.3 | R+7.3 |
| 2000 | 22.6% | 73.5% | R+50.9 | R+23.5 |
| 1996 | 27.4% | 54.8% | R+27.4 | R+9.1 |
| 1992 | 25.9% | 44.2% | R+18.4 | D+12.6 |
| 1988 | 33.3% | 64.3% | R+31.0 | D+27.0 |
| 1984 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.0 | R+3.7 |
| 1980 | 20.6% | 74.9% | R+54.3 | R+27.3 |
| 1976 | 34.9% | 61.8% | R+26.9 | D+30.0 |
| 1972 | 18.2% | 75.1% | R+56.9 | R+17.6 |
| 1968 | 21.2% | 60.5% | R+39.3 | R+13.3 |
| 1964 | 37.0% | 63.0% | R+26.0 | R+9.0 |
| 1960 | 41.5% | 58.5% | R+17.0 | D+12.4 |
| 1956 | 35.3% | 64.7% | R+29.4 | D+19.1 |
| 1952 | 25.7% | 74.2% | R+48.5 | R+48.4 |
| 1948 | 49.3% | 49.4% | R+0.1 | — |
What defines Jerome?
It has a working-class electorate (14% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 53.9% margin
- Shifted 7.6 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Jerome sits inside these higher-level geographies.