How did Twin Falls vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Twin Falls voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+41.4. Kamala D Harris received 23,454 votes and Donald Trump received 58,099 out of 83,651 total votes cast, a 4.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Twin Falls's political history?

Twin Falls has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940. The largest single-election swing was 117.1 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Twin Falls?

Twin Falls has a population of 212,838 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 68.4% non-Hispanic white, 25.8% Hispanic. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $71,743.

Which places are most similar to Twin Falls?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Twin Falls are San Angelo, Odessa-Midland, Abilene-Sweetwater. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Twin Falls

Latest: 2024↓ R+4.2 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 213K residents — 7 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	25.8%
▶Black / African American(7)	0.5%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	1.2%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.2%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Other	24.3%	57.5%
LDS (Mormon)	22.9%	54.2%
Catholic	8.2%	19.4%
Evangelical Protestant	7.1%	16.8%
Mainline Protestant	2.7%	6.3%
Non-religious	57.8%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+41.4
2020	Trump+37.3
2016	Trump+37.6
2012	Romney+39.2
2008	McCain+31.4
2004	Bush+43.7
2000	Bush+42.5
1996	Dole+22.1
1992	Bush+15.4

View full election history →

Twin Falls is a media market that has a population of 212,838. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+41.4. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.

Twin Falls Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	28.0%	69.5%	R+41.4	R+4.2
2020	29.8%	67.1%	R+37.3	D+0.4
2016	25.2%	62.8%	R+37.6	D+1.6
2012	28.9%	68.1%	R+39.2	R+7.8
2008	32.8%	64.3%	R+31.4	D+12.3
2004	27.6%	71.3%	R+43.7	R+1.3
2000	26.4%	68.9%	R+42.5	R+20.3
1996	30.7%	52.8%	R+22.1	R+6.7
1992	27.1%	42.5%	R+15.4	D+14.4
1988	34.1%	63.9%	R+29.8	D+26.2
1984	21.4%	77.5%	R+56.0	R+6.2
1980	21.8%	71.6%	R+49.8	R+21.4
1976	34.0%	62.4%	R+28.4	D+22.5
1972	21.1%	72.1%	R+50.9	R+12.9
1968	22.7%	60.8%	R+38.1	R+20.9
1964	41.4%	58.6%	R+17.2	D+2.4
1960	40.2%	59.8%	R+19.6	D+11.9
1956	34.2%	65.7%	R+31.5	D+15.0
1952	26.7%	73.2%	R+46.5	R+40.2
1948	46.0%	52.4%	R+6.4	—

Political Identity

What defines Twin Falls?

Twin Falls voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Tyler-Longview (Lufkin & Nacogdoches)

Small-town rural republican

R+38.8

Similarity score82%

Wichita Falls & Lawton

Rural Republican 2

R+51.6

Similarity score81%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Twin Falls

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Twin Falls	94K	R+48.8	9,064	27,304	37,379	44.7%
Cassia	25K	R+68.9	1,359	7,959	9,574	11.4%
Jerome	25K	R+53.9	1,742	6,012	7,927	9.5%
Blaine	25K	D+31.8	8,424	4,281	13,016	15.6%
Minidoka	22K	R+63.4	1,373	6,401	7,925	9.5%
Gooding	16K	R+60.5	1,100	4,676	5,913	7.1%
Lincoln	5K	R+56.0	392	1,466	1,917	2.3%

7 countiesTotal votes: 83,651

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Twin Falls's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Twin Falls media market voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 41.4% margin
College attainment is 23% — 10pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Twin FallsCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 68.4%Hispanic 25.8%Multiracial 3.2%Native American 1.2%Asian 0.7%Black 0.5%

Group	Twin Falls	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	25.8%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.2%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	1.2%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.7%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(7)	0.5%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

42.2%(89.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Other	24.3%	57.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	22.9%	54.2%	—	—
Catholic	8.2%	19.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	7.1%	16.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.7%	6.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Twin Falls media market? 212,838 residents across 7 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Twin Falls vs National213K residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

213K

local

213KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.06%

local

0.06%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.1%

local

72.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$71,743

local

$71,743National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.3%

local

23.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.3%

local

71.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.7 yrs

local

36.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.7%

local

16.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.4%

local

11.4%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.5%

local

21.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.5%

local

78.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Twin Falls

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

54.5%

vs Previous

+0.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

153,500

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Twin Falls?

Safe RAvg margin: R+38.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+31.4

2012

R+39.2

2016

R+37.6

2020

R+37.3

2024

R+41.4

Elasticity

10.0pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+37.4

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Twin Falls split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (18/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+37.7	R+39.6	1.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 14.6pp

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