Twin Falls, ID
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 119K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 22.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Other | 23.7% | 55.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 22.7% | 53.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.4% | 19.9% |
| Catholic | 7.1% | 16.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 7.4% |
| Non-religious | 57.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+45.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+16.5 |
Twin Falls, ID is a metro area that has a population of 118,907. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.7. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.9% | 73.5% | R+49.7 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 25.4% | 71.1% | R+45.7 | D+0.4 |
| 2016 | 20.6% | 66.8% | R+46.2 | R+2.5 |
| 2012 | 26.3% | 70.0% | R+43.7 | R+5.6 |
| 2008 | 29.4% | 67.5% | R+38.1 | D+13.5 |
| 2004 | 23.6% | 75.3% | R+51.6 | R+5.8 |
| 2000 | 25.0% | 70.8% | R+45.8 | R+20.8 |
| 1996 | 29.3% | 54.3% | R+25.0 | R+8.5 |
| 1992 | 27.6% | 44.0% | R+16.5 | D+13.6 |
| 1988 | 34.0% | 64.0% | R+30.0 | D+27.2 |
| 1984 | 20.9% | 78.1% | R+57.2 | R+3.9 |
| 1980 | 20.4% | 73.8% | R+53.4 | R+20.7 |
| 1976 | 32.3% | 65.0% | R+32.6 | D+22.8 |
| 1972 | 18.8% | 74.2% | R+55.5 | R+14.7 |
| 1968 | 21.7% | 62.5% | R+40.8 | R+19.4 |
| 1964 | 39.3% | 60.7% | R+21.4 | D+1.3 |
| 1960 | 38.6% | 61.4% | R+22.8 | D+12.0 |
| 1956 | 32.6% | 67.4% | R+34.8 | D+16.6 |
| 1952 | 24.3% | 75.7% | R+51.4 | R+41.5 |
| 1948 | 44.3% | 54.2% | R+9.9 | — |
What defines Twin Falls, ID?
It has a working-class electorate (22% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Twin Falls, ID
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twin Falls | 94K | R+48.8 | 9,064 | 27,304 | 37,379 | 82.5% |
| Jerome | 25K | R+53.9 | 1,742 | 6,012 | 7,927 | 17.5% |
2 countiesTotal votes: 45,306
Ask the Historian
Explore Twin Falls, ID's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.7% margin
- College attainment is 22% — 12pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Twin Falls, ID | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.4% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 22.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.7% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
42.5%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -7.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 55.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 22.7% | 53.4% | — | — |
| 8.4% | 19.9% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 16.8% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Twin Falls, ID metro area? 118,907 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
119K
Share of U.S. population
0.04%
Voting-age population
71.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$68,239
Poverty rate
11.7%
College degree
21.5%
Homeownership
71.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
35.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.0%
Age 65+
15.9%
Foreign born
10.5%
Non-English at home
19.1%
English only
80.9%
Turnout in Twin Falls, ID
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
53.2%
+0.9pp
85,128
1988–2024
How competitive is Twin Falls, ID?
Safe RAvg margin: R+47.2 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+38.1
2012
R+43.7
2016
R+46.2
2020
R+45.7
2024
R+49.7
11.6pp
0
R+44.7
Do voters in Twin Falls, ID split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (23/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+46.3 | R+47.0 | 0.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 14.0pp
Located In
Twin Falls, ID sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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