Assumption Parish, Louisiana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 63.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 4.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 27.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 53.3% | 86.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.9% | 9.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| Other | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.9% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 38.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+30.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+25.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+5.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+8.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+36.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+25.9 |
Assumption, Louisiana is a county that has a population of 20,484. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.6% | 67.2% | R+35.6 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 34.1% | 64.7% | R+30.6 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 36.1% | 61.6% | R+25.5 | R+13.4 |
| 2012 | 43.2% | 55.3% | R+12.1 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 43.4% | 54.6% | R+11.2 | R+16.9 |
| 2004 | 52.0% | 46.3% | D+5.8 | R+2.5 |
| 2000 | 51.9% | 43.6% | D+8.3 | R+28.1 |
| 1996 | 62.8% | 26.4% | D+36.4 | D+10.5 |
| 1992 | 53.9% | 28.0% | D+25.9 | D+10.0 |
| 1988 | 56.1% | 40.2% | D+15.9 | D+23.4 |
| 1984 | 45.0% | 52.4% | R+7.5 | R+14.9 |
| 1980 | 51.6% | 44.1% | D+7.5 | R+9.2 |
| 1976 | 57.1% | 40.4% | D+16.6 | D+43.1 |
| 1972 | 32.4% | 58.9% | R+26.5 | R+40.4 |
| 1968 | 33.6% | 19.7% | D+13.9 | R+4.4 |
| 1964 | 59.1% | 40.9% | D+18.3 | R+35.2 |
| 1960 | 71.7% | 18.2% | D+53.5 | D+67.3 |
| 1956 | 41.4% | 55.2% | R+13.8 | R+29.1 |
| 1952 | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.3 | D+21.1 |
| 1948 | 19.7% | 25.6% | R+5.8 | — |
What defines Assumption?
Assumption has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (14% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.6% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2004, Republicans in 2024
Located In
Assumption sits inside these higher-level geographies.