Baton Rouge, LA
Leans Republican — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 875K residents — 10 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.6% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 34.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.0% | 44.3% |
| Catholic | 19.9% | 35.4% |
| Black Protestant | 4.4% | 7.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 7.7% |
| Other | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 43.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+14.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+13.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+8.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.4 |
Baton Rouge, LA is a metro area that has a population of 875,313. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+14.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.7% | 56.5% | R+14.8 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 43.2% | 54.9% | R+11.8 | D+1.4 |
| 2016 | 41.5% | 54.7% | R+13.2 | R+0.8 |
| 2012 | 43.0% | 55.4% | R+12.4 | D+1.7 |
| 2008 | 42.3% | 56.4% | R+14.1 | D+1.2 |
| 2004 | 41.9% | 57.2% | R+15.3 | R+7.2 |
| 2000 | 44.8% | 52.9% | R+8.1 | R+17.2 |
| 1996 | 50.6% | 41.6% | D+9.0 | D+8.6 |
| 1992 | 44.1% | 43.7% | D+0.4 | D+9.6 |
| 1988 | 44.7% | 53.9% | R+9.2 | D+7.5 |
| 1984 | 41.3% | 58.0% | R+16.7 | R+19.5 |
| 1980 | 49.8% | 47.0% | D+2.8 | R+8.8 |
| 1976 | 54.6% | 43.0% | D+11.6 | D+41.1 |
| 1972 | 31.7% | 61.2% | R+29.5 | R+38.5 |
| 1968 | 29.8% | 20.7% | D+9.0 | D+20.1 |
| 1964 | 44.4% | 55.6% | R+11.1 | R+38.8 |
| 1960 | 52.8% | 25.1% | D+27.7 | D+34.2 |
| 1956 | 45.1% | 51.6% | R+6.5 | R+21.6 |
| 1952 | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.2 | R+6.7 |
| 1948 | 39.5% | 17.7% | D+21.8 | — |
What defines Baton Rouge, LA?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (47% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Baton Rouge, LA
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Baton Rouge | 453K | D+11.1 | 103,820 | 82,720 | 190,643 | 48.7% |
| Livingston | 148K | R+68.5 | 9,965 | 55,101 | 65,906 | 16.8% |
| Ascension | 130K | R+33.9 | 20,113 | 41,319 | 62,473 | 15.9% |
| Iberville | 30K | R+0.7 | 7,503 | 7,616 | 15,354 | 3.9% |
| West Baton Rouge | 28K | R+11.7 | 6,008 | 7,627 | 13,836 | 3.5% |
| Assumption | 20K | R+35.6 | 3,273 | 6,963 | 10,367 | 2.6% |
| Pointe Coupee | 20K | R+27.6 | 4,132 | 7,319 | 11,570 | 3.0% |
| East Feliciana | 19K | R+22.2 | 3,809 | 6,020 | 9,947 | 2.5% |
| West Feliciana | 15K | R+31.9 | 2,004 | 3,923 | 6,008 | 1.5% |
| St. Helena | 11K | D+0.8 | 2,848 | 2,804 | 5,745 | 1.5% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 3.3 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
| Group | Baton Rouge, LA | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 34.0% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -13.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0% | 44.3% | — | — | |
| 19.9% | 35.4% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 7.9% | — | — | |
| 4.3% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 43.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Baton Rouge, LA metro area? 875,313 residents across 10 counties.
Demographics
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Baton Rouge, LA
How competitive is Baton Rouge, LA?
Do voters in Baton Rouge, LA split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+11.8 | R+35.8 | 24.0pp |