
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
21K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
2024 PRES
D+52.4
TURNOUT
71.1%
#5 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$126K
COLLEGE+
52%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 71.8pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 80% non-Hispanic white (+23pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 18pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.