Safe Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
1.3M
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
2024 PRES
D+42.4
TURNOUT
74.4%
#55 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$98K
COLLEGE+
54%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 22.9pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 54% college+ (+19pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 14pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.