Safe Republican — shifted 7.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
25K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+33.6
TURNOUT
55.0%
#110 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$62K
COLLEGE+
36%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 87% non-Hispanic white (+30pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 43pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 28.5pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.