Kirksville, MO
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29K residents — 2 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.7% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.9% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.2% | 61.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.6% | 20.0% |
| Catholic | 4.4% | 10.2% |
| Other | 3.7% | 8.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.9% | 6.7% |
| Non-religious | 57.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+30.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+15.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.2 |
Kirksville, MO is a metro area that has a population of 29,339. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+38.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.1% | 68.6% | R+38.5 | R+6.6 |
| 2020 | 33.1% | 65.0% | R+31.9 | R+1.6 |
| 2016 | 31.7% | 62.0% | R+30.3 | R+14.4 |
| 2012 | 40.7% | 56.6% | R+15.8 | R+12.1 |
| 2008 | 47.0% | 50.7% | R+3.8 | D+8.6 |
| 2004 | 43.4% | 55.8% | R+12.3 | D+6.0 |
| 2000 | 39.1% | 57.4% | R+18.3 | R+17.2 |
| 1996 | 43.0% | 44.1% | R+1.1 | R+3.3 |
| 1992 | 40.3% | 38.1% | D+2.2 | D+21.5 |
| 1988 | 40.2% | 59.4% | R+19.3 | D+9.4 |
| 1984 | 35.7% | 64.3% | R+28.6 | R+9.8 |
| 1980 | 38.3% | 57.1% | R+18.9 | R+7.4 |
| 1976 | 43.4% | 54.8% | R+11.4 | D+28.6 |
| 1972 | 30.0% | 70.0% | R+40.0 | R+17.7 |
| 1968 | 35.1% | 57.5% | R+22.4 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 55.0% | 45.0% | D+10.1 | D+32.5 |
| 1960 | 38.8% | 61.2% | R+22.4 | R+7.7 |
| 1956 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 | D+4.2 |
| 1952 | 40.3% | 59.3% | R+19.0 | R+24.5 |
| 1948 | 52.5% | 47.1% | D+5.5 | — |
What defines Kirksville, MO?
Kirksville, MO has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
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Counties in Kirksville, MO
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
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Ask the Historian
Explore Kirksville, MO's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 38.5% margin
- Shifted 22.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Kirksville, MO | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 88.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 2.7% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
42.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -55.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.2% | 61.1% | — | — | |
| 8.6% | 20.0% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 10.2% | — | — | |
| 3.7% | 8.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 2.9% | 6.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 57.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Kirksville, MO metro area? 29,339 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
29K
Share of U.S. population
0.01%
Voting-age population
73.3%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$61,495
Poverty rate
20.2%
College degree
32.3%
Homeownership
63.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
31.4 yrs
Age 18–29
28.7%
Age 65+
15.9%
Foreign born
4.8%
Non-English at home
8.1%
English only
91.9%
Turnout in Kirksville, MO
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
56.6%
-0.7pp
21,518
1988–2024
How competitive is Kirksville, MO?
Safe RAvg margin: R+33.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+3.8
2012
R+15.8
2016
R+30.3
2020
R+31.9
2024
R+38.5
34.7pp
0
R+24.0
Do voters in Kirksville, MO split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (48/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+37.0 | R+44.3 | 7.3pp |
| President vs Governor | R+38.5 | R+44.3 | 5.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+38.5 | R+37.0 | 1.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.3pp
Located In
Kirksville, MO sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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