Warren County, Missouri
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 4.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 1.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.4% | 46.2% |
| Catholic | 12.1% | 32.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.0% | 16.0% |
| Other | 2.1% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 62.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+46.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+45.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+26.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.0 |
Warren, Missouri is a county that has a population of 37,177. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+49.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.7% | 74.2% | R+49.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 26.0% | 72.0% | R+46.0 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 24.8% | 70.4% | R+45.6 | R+18.8 |
| 2012 | 35.6% | 62.3% | R+26.8 | R+14.1 |
| 2008 | 43.0% | 55.7% | R+12.7 | D+5.4 |
| 2004 | 40.7% | 58.7% | R+18.0 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 42.1% | 55.7% | R+13.6 | R+9.8 |
| 1996 | 40.0% | 43.8% | R+3.8 | R+6.8 |
| 1992 | 37.1% | 34.1% | D+3.0 | D+23.5 |
| 1988 | 39.6% | 60.1% | R+20.5 | D+24.3 |
| 1984 | 27.6% | 72.4% | R+44.8 | R+11.6 |
| 1980 | 31.6% | 64.7% | R+33.1 | R+13.8 |
| 1976 | 39.9% | 59.2% | R+19.3 | D+29.1 |
| 1972 | 25.8% | 74.2% | R+48.5 | R+10.1 |
| 1968 | 24.2% | 62.5% | R+38.3 | R+28.4 |
| 1964 | 45.0% | 55.0% | R+9.9 | D+25.4 |
| 1960 | 32.3% | 67.7% | R+35.4 | D+5.0 |
| 1956 | 29.8% | 70.2% | R+40.4 | D+5.1 |
| 1952 | 27.1% | 72.7% | R+45.5 | R+7.8 |
| 1948 | 30.9% | 68.6% | R+37.8 | — |
What defines Warren?
It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 49.5% margin
- Shifted 22.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Warren sits inside these higher-level geographies.