Cascade County, Montana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 34 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 82.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 5.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 1.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 3.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 6.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.1% | 53.3% |
| Catholic | 7.2% | 19.0% |
| Other | 5.7% | 15.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.8% | 12.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 11.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 62.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+22.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+19.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+21.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.1 |
Cascade, Montana is a county that has a population of 84,606. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+22.4. Akashic Edge tracks 34 presidential elections here, dating back to 1892.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37.3% | 59.7% | R+22.4 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 38.8% | 58.5% | R+19.7 | D+1.9 |
| 2016 | 35.2% | 56.8% | R+21.6 | R+12.6 |
| 2012 | 44.1% | 53.1% | R+9.0 | R+11.3 |
| 2008 | 49.9% | 47.6% | D+2.3 | D+18.2 |
| 2004 | 40.9% | 56.9% | R+15.9 | R+0.8 |
| 2000 | 39.4% | 54.5% | R+15.1 | R+19.1 |
| 1996 | 44.9% | 40.8% | D+4.0 | R+2.0 |
| 1992 | 40.2% | 34.2% | D+6.1 | D+6.8 |
| 1988 | 48.9% | 49.6% | R+0.7 | D+15.5 |
| 1984 | 41.3% | 57.5% | R+16.2 | D+4.1 |
| 1980 | 34.5% | 54.8% | R+20.4 | R+18.4 |
| 1976 | 48.1% | 50.1% | R+2.0 | D+8.6 |
| 1972 | 41.8% | 52.4% | R+10.6 | R+17.7 |
| 1968 | 50.4% | 43.2% | D+7.2 | R+25.1 |
| 1964 | 65.9% | 33.6% | D+32.3 | D+23.9 |
| 1960 | 54.1% | 45.7% | D+8.4 | D+14.2 |
| 1956 | 47.1% | 52.9% | R+5.8 | R+1.0 |
| 1952 | 47.3% | 52.1% | R+4.8 | R+31.3 |
| 1948 | 61.0% | 34.5% | D+26.5 | — |
What defines Cascade?
Cascade has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 22.4% margin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.6 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Cascade sits inside these higher-level geographies.