Competitive — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 8.5% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 2.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.3% | 58.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.8% | 20.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.7% | 9.8% |
| Other | 2.0% | 7.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 72.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+2.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+1.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.0 |
Hillsborough, New Hampshire is a county that has a population of 426,378. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.7% | 47.8% | D+2.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 53.0% | 45.3% | D+7.7 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 46.5% | 46.7% | R+0.2 | R+1.3 |
| 2012 | 49.7% | 48.6% | D+1.1 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 51.2% | 47.5% | D+3.7 | D+6.6 |
| 2004 | 48.2% | 51.0% | R+2.9 | R+1.1 |
| 2000 | 46.8% | 48.7% | R+1.8 | R+9.9 |
| 1996 | 48.6% | 40.5% | D+8.1 | D+10.1 |
| 1992 | 37.0% | 39.0% | R+2.0 | D+29.3 |
| 1988 | 33.7% | 65.0% | R+31.3 | D+10.5 |
| 1984 | 28.9% | 70.7% | R+41.8 | R+9.5 |
| 1980 | 27.6% | 59.8% | R+32.3 | R+24.3 |
| 1976 | 45.1% | 53.1% | R+8.0 | D+22.2 |
| 1972 | 34.3% | 64.4% | R+30.1 | R+33.4 |
| 1968 | 49.3% | 46.0% | D+3.3 | R+29.5 |
| 1964 | 66.4% | 33.6% | D+32.8 | D+17.6 |
| 1960 | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.1 | D+26.2 |
| 1956 | 44.4% | 55.5% | R+11.1 | R+11.7 |
| 1952 | 50.3% | 49.7% | D+0.7 | R+18.5 |
| 1948 | 59.1% | 39.9% | D+19.1 | — |
Hillsborough has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (4D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a highly educated electorate (42% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Contextual statewide polling for New Hampshire. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Chris Pappas leads at 45.6%