Manchester-Nashua, NH
Competitive — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 426K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 8.5% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 2.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.2% | 58.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.7% | 20.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.7% | 9.8% |
| Other | 2.0% | 7.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.9% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 72.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+2.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+7.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+0.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+2.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+1.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+2.0 |
Manchester-Nashua, NH is a metro area that has a population of 426,378. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.7% | 47.8% | D+2.9 | R+4.8 |
| 2020 | 53.0% | 45.3% | D+7.7 | D+7.9 |
| 2016 | 46.5% | 46.7% | R+0.2 | R+1.3 |
| 2012 | 49.7% | 48.6% | D+1.1 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 51.2% | 47.5% | D+3.7 | D+6.6 |
| 2004 | 48.2% | 51.0% | R+2.9 | R+1.0 |
| 2000 | 46.8% | 48.7% | R+1.8 | R+9.9 |
| 1996 | 48.6% | 40.5% | D+8.1 | D+10.1 |
| 1992 | 37.0% | 39.0% | R+2.0 | D+29.3 |
| 1988 | 33.7% | 65.0% | R+31.3 | D+10.5 |
| 1984 | 28.9% | 70.7% | R+41.8 | R+9.5 |
| 1980 | 27.6% | 59.8% | R+32.3 | R+24.3 |
| 1976 | 45.1% | 53.1% | R+8.0 | D+22.2 |
| 1972 | 34.3% | 64.4% | R+30.1 | R+33.4 |
| 1968 | 49.3% | 46.0% | D+3.3 | R+29.5 |
| 1964 | 66.4% | 33.6% | D+32.7 | D+17.6 |
| 1960 | 57.6% | 42.4% | D+15.1 | D+26.2 |
| 1956 | 44.4% | 55.5% | R+11.1 | R+11.7 |
| 1952 | 50.3% | 49.7% | D+0.6 | R+18.5 |
| 1948 | 59.1% | 39.9% | D+19.1 | — |
What defines Manchester-Nashua, NH?
Manchester-Nashua, NH has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (4D, 2R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a highly educated electorate (42% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Democrats nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Manchester-Nashua, NH
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hillsborough | 426K | D+2.9 | 118,776 | 112,057 | 234,440 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- The 2016 election was decided by just 0.2 points — razor-thin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 8.5% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.3% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 2.5% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.2% | 58.8% | — | — | |
| 5.7% | 20.9% | — | — | |
| 2.7% | 9.8% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 7.1% | — | — | |
| 0.9% | 3.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 2.2% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 72.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Manchester-Nashua, NH metro area? 426,378 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Manchester-Nashua, NH
How competitive is Manchester-Nashua, NH?
Do voters in Manchester-Nashua, NH split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+2.9 | R+11.0 | 13.9pp |