Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
95K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+19.3
TURNOUT
70.8%
#5 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$91K
COLLEGE+
39%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 84% non-Hispanic white (+27pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 55pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 25.9pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.