Philadelphia
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 8.4M residents — 18 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 13.8% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 17.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 25.8% | 53.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.6% | 15.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.2% | 14.9% |
| Other | 5.3% | 11.0% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 3.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 51.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+20.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+24.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+22.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+25.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+28.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+18.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+20.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+21.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+13.4 |
Philadelphia is a media market that has a population of 8,395,425. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+20.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.5% | 39.3% | D+20.2 | R+4.5 |
| 2020 | 61.7% | 37.0% | D+24.7 | D+2.0 |
| 2016 | 59.3% | 36.6% | D+22.7 | R+2.8 |
| 2012 | 62.1% | 36.6% | D+25.4 | R+2.7 |
| 2008 | 63.5% | 35.4% | D+28.1 | D+9.9 |
| 2004 | 58.8% | 40.6% | D+18.2 | R+2.2 |
| 2000 | 58.7% | 38.3% | D+20.3 | R+1.0 |
| 1996 | 55.2% | 33.9% | D+21.3 | D+8.0 |
| 1992 | 47.6% | 34.2% | D+13.4 | D+17.8 |
| 1988 | 47.3% | 51.7% | R+4.4 | D+4.0 |
| 1984 | 45.6% | 53.9% | R+8.4 | R+3.6 |
| 1980 | 42.9% | 47.6% | R+4.7 | R+12.8 |
| 1976 | 53.1% | 45.1% | D+8.1 | D+22.6 |
| 1972 | 42.0% | 56.5% | R+14.5 | R+21.6 |
| 1968 | 48.7% | 41.7% | D+7.0 | R+25.9 |
| 1964 | 66.3% | 33.3% | D+33.0 | D+23.8 |
| 1960 | 54.4% | 45.3% | D+9.1 | D+17.6 |
| 1956 | 45.6% | 54.1% | R+8.5 | R+7.5 |
| 1952 | 49.3% | 50.3% | R+0.9 | D+3.2 |
| 1948 | 46.7% | 50.9% | R+4.2 | — |
What defines Philadelphia?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Washington, DC (Hagerstown)
Educated rural democratic
Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)
Educated rural competitive
Chicago
Educated rural democratic
Boston (Manchester)
Educated rural democratic
Portland, OR
Educated rural competitive
Atlanta
Educated rural competitive
Denver
Educated rural competitive
Seattle-Tacoma
Educated rural democratic
Counties in Philadelphia
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 1.6M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 16.7% |
| Montgomery | 868K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 12.1% |
| Bucks | 647K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 9.3% |
| Delaware | 579K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 7.6% |
| New Castle | 578K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 6.4% |
| Chester | 548K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 7.5% |
| Camden | 527K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 5.7% |
| Burlington | 468K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 5.3% |
| Berks | 433K | R+12.2 | 91,125 | 116,677 | 209,838 | 4.9% |
| Mercer | 386K | D+33.9 | 107,558 | 52,274 | 163,270 | 3.8% |
| Lehigh | 379K | D+2.7 | 96,317 | 91,207 | 189,810 | 4.4% |
| Northampton | 319K | R+1.8 | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,215 | 4.1% |
| Gloucester | 307K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 3.8% |
| Atlantic | 276K | R+3.0 | 61,879 | 65,817 | 129,759 | 3.0% |
| Kent | 188K | D+2.0 | 44,222 | 42,458 | 88,141 | 2.0% |
| Cumberland | 153K | R+3.8 | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,885 | 1.3% |
| Cape May | 95K | R+19.3 | 21,648 | 32,151 | 54,568 | 1.3% |
| Salem | 65K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.7% |
18 countiesTotal votes: 4,313,970
Ask the Historian
Explore Philadelphia's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 20.2% margin
- Swung 4.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Philadelphia | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 17.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 13.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 6.1% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
48.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 53.6% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 7.2% | 14.9% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 11.0% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Philadelphia media market? 8,395,425 residents across 18 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
8.4M
Share of U.S. population
2.51%
Voting-age population
75.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$90,634
Poverty rate
11.5%
College degree
40.0%
Homeownership
67.2%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.7 yrs
Age 18–29
15.5%
Age 65+
17.6%
Foreign born
12.5%
Non-English at home
19.0%
English only
81.0%
Turnout in Philadelphia
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
67.7%
-1.4pp
6,371,684
1988–2024
How competitive is Philadelphia?
Safe DAvg margin: D+22.5 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+28.1
2012
D+25.4
2016
D+22.7
2020
D+24.7
2024
D+20.2
7.9pp
0
D+24.2
Do voters in Philadelphia split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (44/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+20.2 | D+21.8 | 1.6pp |
| President vs Senate | D+20.2 | D+21.5 | 1.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+21.5 | D+21.8 | 0.3pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 10.9pp
Located In
Philadelphia sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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