Bronx County, New York
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 22.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 28 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 8.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 55.1% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 32.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 1.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.9% | 59.1% |
| Other | 8.9% | 23.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.3% | 11.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 3.9% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 61.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+45.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+67.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+79.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+83.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+77.8 |
| 2004 | Kerry+66.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+74.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+75.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+53.0 |
Bronx, New York is a county that has a population of 1,404,779. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+45.0. Akashic Edge tracks 28 presidential elections here, dating back to 1916.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 72.1% | 27.1% | D+45.0 | R+22.5 |
| 2020 | 83.5% | 15.9% | D+67.6 | R+11.5 |
| 2016 | 88.5% | 9.5% | D+79.1 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 91.4% | 8.1% | D+83.4 | D+5.6 |
| 2008 | 88.7% | 10.9% | D+77.8 | D+11.5 |
| 2004 | 82.8% | 16.5% | D+66.3 | R+8.3 |
| 2000 | 86.3% | 11.8% | D+74.5 | R+0.8 |
| 1996 | 85.8% | 10.5% | D+75.3 | D+22.3 |
| 1992 | 73.7% | 20.7% | D+53.0 | D+5.2 |
| 1988 | 73.2% | 25.5% | D+47.7 | D+13.6 |
| 1984 | 66.9% | 32.8% | D+34.1 | D+0.8 |
| 1980 | 64.0% | 30.7% | D+33.3 | R+8.8 |
| 1976 | 70.8% | 28.7% | D+42.1 | D+31.5 |
| 1972 | 55.2% | 44.6% | D+10.6 | R+11.1 |
| 1968 | 53.7% | 32.0% | D+21.6 | R+27.9 |
| 1964 | 74.7% | 25.2% | D+49.5 | D+13.4 |
| 1960 | 67.9% | 31.8% | D+36.1 | D+21.8 |
| 1956 | 57.2% | 42.8% | D+14.4 | D+3.9 |
| 1952 | 47.7% | 37.3% | D+10.4 | R+7.7 |
| 1948 | 45.9% | 27.8% | D+18.1 | — |
What defines Bronx?
Bronx has been trending Republican — 38pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 45.0% margin
- Swung 22.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Located In
Bronx sits inside these higher-level geographies.