Erie County, New York
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 72.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 6.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 12.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 46.5% | 68.4% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 6.7% | 9.9% |
| Other | 5.1% | 7.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.8% | 7.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.4% | 6.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 32.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+9.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+14.7 |
| 2016 | Clinton+6.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+16.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+17.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+15.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+18.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+22.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.8 |
Erie, New York is a county that has a population of 950,622. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+9.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.5% | 44.9% | D+9.6 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 56.5% | 41.8% | D+14.7 | D+8.3 |
| 2016 | 50.9% | 44.5% | D+6.4 | R+9.9 |
| 2012 | 57.3% | 41.0% | D+16.3 | R+1.2 |
| 2008 | 58.0% | 40.5% | D+17.5 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 56.4% | 41.4% | D+15.0 | R+3.9 |
| 2000 | 56.6% | 37.7% | D+18.8 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 54.7% | 32.3% | D+22.5 | D+7.7 |
| 1992 | 43.5% | 28.7% | D+14.8 | D+3.2 |
| 1988 | 55.4% | 43.8% | D+11.6 | D+8.4 |
| 1984 | 51.5% | 48.3% | D+3.2 | R+7.8 |
| 1980 | 51.2% | 40.2% | D+11.0 | D+9.0 |
| 1976 | 50.7% | 48.7% | D+2.0 | D+10.1 |
| 1972 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 | R+24.5 |
| 1968 | 53.5% | 37.0% | D+16.4 | R+30.0 |
| 1964 | 73.1% | 26.7% | D+46.4 | D+33.1 |
| 1960 | 56.6% | 43.3% | D+13.3 | D+40.7 |
| 1956 | 36.3% | 63.7% | R+27.4 | R+12.8 |
| 1952 | 41.7% | 56.3% | R+14.6 | R+19.5 |
| 1948 | 50.6% | 45.7% | D+5.0 | — |
What defines Erie?
It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 5.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Religious adherence of 68.0% ranks 437th of 3143 counties — top quartile nationally
Located In
Erie sits inside these higher-level geographies.