Suffolk County, New York
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 9.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 22.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 7.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 54.9% | 81.8% |
| Other | 4.3% | 6.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.6% | 5.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 4.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 32.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+0.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+6.8 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.7 |
| 2008 | Obama+6.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+0.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+11.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.5 |
Suffolk, New York is a county that has a population of 1,530,146. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.8% | 54.7% | R+9.9 | R+9.9 |
| 2020 | 49.4% | 49.4% | Even | D+6.8 |
| 2016 | 44.6% | 51.5% | R+6.8 | R+10.5 |
| 2012 | 51.2% | 47.5% | D+3.7 | R+2.3 |
| 2008 | 52.5% | 46.5% | D+6.0 | D+5.1 |
| 2004 | 49.5% | 48.5% | D+0.9 | R+10.5 |
| 2000 | 53.4% | 42.0% | D+11.4 | R+4.3 |
| 1996 | 51.8% | 36.1% | D+15.7 | D+17.2 |
| 1992 | 38.9% | 40.4% | R+1.5 | D+20.3 |
| 1988 | 38.7% | 60.5% | R+21.8 | D+10.5 |
| 1984 | 33.7% | 66.0% | R+32.3 | R+8.7 |
| 1980 | 33.3% | 57.0% | R+23.6 | R+14.8 |
| 1976 | 45.3% | 54.1% | R+8.8 | D+32.1 |
| 1972 | 29.4% | 70.3% | R+40.9 | R+13.5 |
| 1968 | 30.7% | 58.2% | R+27.4 | R+38.6 |
| 1964 | 55.5% | 44.4% | D+11.1 | D+29.9 |
| 1960 | 40.6% | 59.3% | R+18.7 | D+36.5 |
| 1956 | 22.3% | 77.6% | R+55.3 | R+4.2 |
| 1952 | 23.5% | 74.5% | R+51.0 | R+7.6 |
| 1948 | 26.3% | 69.8% | R+43.4 | — |
What defines Suffolk?
Suffolk has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Swung 9.9 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Located In
Suffolk sits inside these higher-level geographies.