Muskogee County, Oklahoma
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 9.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 17.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 11.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 60.3% | 79.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.4% | 8.4% |
| Black Protestant | 4.2% | 5.6% |
| Catholic | 2.8% | 3.7% |
| Other | 1.8% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 24.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+37.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+29.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+14.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.3 |
Muskogee, Oklahoma is a county that has a population of 66,444. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+37.6. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.4% | 67.9% | R+37.6 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 32.0% | 65.9% | R+33.9 | R+4.7 |
| 2016 | 32.9% | 62.1% | R+29.2 | R+14.4 |
| 2012 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 | D+0.3 |
| 2008 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 | R+5.9 |
| 2004 | 45.4% | 54.6% | R+9.2 | R+12.0 |
| 2000 | 50.7% | 47.9% | D+2.8 | R+13.0 |
| 1996 | 51.5% | 35.6% | D+15.8 | R+1.5 |
| 1992 | 48.8% | 31.4% | D+17.3 | D+6.9 |
| 1988 | 54.9% | 44.5% | D+10.4 | D+18.9 |
| 1984 | 45.4% | 53.9% | R+8.5 | R+15.6 |
| 1980 | 51.9% | 44.8% | D+7.1 | R+10.3 |
| 1976 | 58.4% | 40.9% | D+17.5 | D+51.2 |
| 1972 | 32.0% | 65.7% | R+33.7 | R+36.7 |
| 1968 | 41.3% | 38.4% | D+3.0 | R+28.5 |
| 1964 | 65.7% | 34.3% | D+31.5 | D+37.1 |
| 1960 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.6 | R+2.6 |
| 1956 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+3.0 | R+8.0 |
| 1952 | 52.5% | 47.5% | D+5.0 | R+30.6 |
| 1948 | 67.8% | 32.2% | D+35.5 | — |
What defines Muskogee?
Muskogee has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 37.6% margin
- Shifted 22.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Muskogee sits inside these higher-level geographies.