Muskogee, OK
Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 66K residents — 1 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 9.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 17.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 11.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 60.2% | 79.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.4% | 8.4% |
| Black Protestant | 4.2% | 5.6% |
| Catholic | 2.8% | 3.7% |
| Other | 1.8% | 2.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 24.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+37.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+29.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+14.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.3 |
Muskogee, OK is a metro area that has a population of 66,444. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+37.6. Akashic Edge tracks 30 presidential elections here, dating back to 1908.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.4% | 67.9% | R+37.6 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 32.0% | 65.9% | R+33.9 | R+4.7 |
| 2016 | 32.9% | 62.1% | R+29.2 | R+14.4 |
| 2012 | 42.6% | 57.4% | R+14.8 | D+0.2 |
| 2008 | 42.5% | 57.5% | R+15.0 | R+5.9 |
| 2004 | 45.4% | 54.6% | R+9.2 | R+12.0 |
| 2000 | 50.7% | 47.9% | D+2.8 | R+13.0 |
| 1996 | 51.5% | 35.6% | D+15.8 | R+1.5 |
| 1992 | 48.8% | 31.4% | D+17.3 | D+6.9 |
| 1988 | 54.9% | 44.5% | D+10.4 | D+18.9 |
| 1984 | 45.4% | 53.9% | R+8.5 | R+15.6 |
| 1980 | 51.9% | 44.8% | D+7.1 | R+10.3 |
| 1976 | 58.4% | 40.9% | D+17.5 | D+51.2 |
| 1972 | 32.0% | 65.7% | R+33.7 | R+36.6 |
| 1968 | 41.3% | 38.4% | D+3.0 | R+28.5 |
| 1964 | 65.7% | 34.3% | D+31.5 | D+37.1 |
| 1960 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.6 | R+2.6 |
| 1956 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+3.0 | R+7.9 |
| 1952 | 52.5% | 47.5% | D+4.9 | R+30.6 |
| 1948 | 67.8% | 32.2% | D+35.5 | — |
What defines Muskogee, OK?
Muskogee, OK has been trending Republican — 23pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Muskogee, OK
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muskogee | 66K | R+37.6 | 7,400 | 16,550 | 24,357 | 100.0% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 37.6% margin
- Shifted 22.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Muskogee, OK | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.6% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(9) | 17.4% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 11.1% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 9.7% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 7.5% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -80.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.2% | 79.9% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 8.4% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 5.6% | — | — | |
| 2.8% | 3.7% | — | — | |
| 1.8% | 2.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 24.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Muskogee, OK metro area? 66,444 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Muskogee, OK
How competitive is Muskogee, OK?
Do voters in Muskogee, OK split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+29.5 | R+13.0 | 16.4pp |