Leans Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
109K
COMPETITIVENESS
Lean R
2024 PRES
R+6.1
TURNOUT
72.6%
#12 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$90K
COLLEGE+
30%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 1968
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 31.7pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 21pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Demographically distinctive: 73% non-Hispanic white (+15pp vs national)