How did Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+29.3. Kamala D Harris received 834,779 votes and Donald Trump received 444,458 out of 1,331,506 total votes cast, a 1.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What are the demographics of Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA?

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA has a population of 2,520,987 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 68.2% non-Hispanic white, 13.9% Hispanic, 3.0% Black. About 42% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $97,334.

Which places are most similar to Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA are Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV, Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Q: What is Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA's political history?

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 49.9 points in 1932.

Latest: 2024↓ R+1.2 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — 2.5M residents — 7 counties

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POPULATION
2.5M
COUNTIES
7
PRES MARGIN
D+29.3
2024
TURNOUT
67.8%
MEDIAN INCOME
$97K

Place Story

What defines Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 1988
- Safe D
- 10 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+49.9 in 1932
- 1928 → 1932
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 35.3pp ahead of Governor
- Divergence 35.3pp in 2020
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+25.4

Similarity score97%

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Educated rural competitive 2

D+41.3

Similarity score96%

Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH

Educated rural competitive 2

D+28.1

Similarity score96%

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.8

Similarity score96%

Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN

Educated rural competitive 2

D+24.6

Similarity score94%

Providence-Warwick, RI-MA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.3

Similarity score94%

Kansas City, MO-KS

Educated rural competitive 2

D+2.6

Similarity score94%

Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.9

Similarity score93%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Multnomah	801K	D+61.6	325,927	70,759	414,250	31.1%
Washington	604K	D+33.7	193,013	92,590	297,949	22.4%
Clark	517K	D+6.9	143,206	123,998	276,578	20.8%
Clackamas	424K	D+9.8	130,580	106,387	246,240	18.5%
Yamhill	109K	R+6.1	26,011	29,536	57,800	4.3%
Columbia	53K	R+13.8	12,895	17,227	31,334	2.4%
Skamania	12K	R+11.1	3,147	3,961	7,355	0.6%

7 countiesTotal votes: 1,331,506

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 68.2%Hispanic 13.9%Asian 7.2%Multiracial 6.4%Black 3.0%Native American 0.9%Native Hawaiian 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	68.2%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	13.9%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	7.2%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	6.4%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(14)	3.0%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	0.9%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(8)	0.6%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

35.5%(894.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -12.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	14.6%	41.0%	—	—
Catholic	11.8%	33.2%	—	—
Other	6.2%	17.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	3.3%	9.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.3%	6.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.4%	1.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	64.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA metro area? 2,520,987 residents across 7 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA vs National2.5M residents

42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.5M

local

2.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.75%

local

0.75%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.9%

local

77.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$97,334

local

$97,334National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.5%

local

9.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.4%

local

42.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

61.7%

local

61.7%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.4 yrs

local

39.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.9%

local

14.9%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.3%

local

16.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.3%

local

18.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

81.7%

local

81.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

67.8%

vs Previous

-4.3pp

Voting-Age Pop

1,963,949

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA?

Safe DAvg margin: D+28.5 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+27.7

2012

D+23.4

2016

D+25.7

2020

D+30.5

2024

D+29.3

Elasticity

7.1pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+27.3

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+29.3	D+2.5	26.8pp
President vs Senate	D+29.3	D+7.1	22.3pp
Senate vs Governor	D+7.1	D+2.5	4.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 17.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Oregon(State)Washington(State)

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