Safe Republican — shifted 10.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
242K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+24.8
TURNOUT
52.5%
#183 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$59K
COLLEGE+
43%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 12.8pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Atypical: young but Republican-leaning (median age 27, R+25.3 avg)
Hypothesis — investigate economic or cultural drivers.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%