Safe Republican — shifted 7.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
17K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+44.7
TURNOUT
53.6%
#173 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$57K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 26.0pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 20% college+ (-16pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 12pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%