Safe Republican — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
23K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+59.5
TURNOUT
63.9%
#82 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$82K
COLLEGE+
24%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 21.3pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 29pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Demographically distinctive: 24% college+ (-11pp vs national)
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%