Mcmullen County, Texas
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 37.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 62.1% |
Black / African American | <0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 33.3% | 60.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.5% | 39.2% |
| Non-religious | 45.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+84.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+78.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+83.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+72.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+49.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+66.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+64.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+36.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+44.2 |
Mcmullen, Texas is a county that has a population of 700. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+84.4. Akashic Edge tracks 37 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7.6% | 92.0% | R+84.4 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 10.3% | 89.1% | R+78.9 | D+4.1 |
| 2016 | 8.0% | 91.0% | R+83.0 | R+10.6 |
| 2012 | 13.3% | 85.7% | R+72.4 | R+22.5 |
| 2008 | 24.6% | 74.5% | R+49.9 | D+16.0 |
| 2004 | 16.8% | 82.8% | R+66.0 | R+1.9 |
| 2000 | 17.5% | 81.5% | R+64.0 | R+27.5 |
| 1996 | 27.2% | 63.7% | R+36.5 | D+7.7 |
| 1992 | 17.6% | 61.9% | R+44.2 | D+8.0 |
| 1988 | 23.6% | 75.9% | R+52.3 | D+17.1 |
| 1984 | 15.3% | 84.7% | R+69.3 | R+31.9 |
| 1980 | 30.7% | 68.1% | R+37.4 | R+31.8 |
| 1976 | 47.2% | 52.8% | R+5.6 | D+48.9 |
| 1972 | 22.2% | 76.8% | R+54.5 | R+52.4 |
| 1968 | 37.4% | 39.5% | R+2.1 | R+22.9 |
| 1964 | 60.3% | 39.5% | D+20.8 | D+21.0 |
| 1960 | 49.9% | 50.1% | R+0.2 | D+9.7 |
| 1956 | 44.8% | 54.7% | R+9.9 | D+20.1 |
| 1952 | 34.9% | 64.9% | R+30.0 | R+83.3 |
| 1948 | 73.5% | 20.2% | D+53.3 | — |
What defines Mcmullen?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
Current Texas Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%
8 pollsStale
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 84.4% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 34.5 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate