San Antonio
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 8.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 3.0M residents — 25 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 32.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 55.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 27.4% | 52.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.0% | 32.6% |
| Other | 3.6% | 6.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 6.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 47.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+0.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+3.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+20.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.9 |
San Antonio is a media market that has a population of 2,980,616. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.2. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.9% | 54.0% | R+9.2 | R+8.8 |
| 2020 | 49.1% | 49.5% | R+0.4 | D+2.9 |
| 2016 | 45.8% | 49.1% | R+3.3 | D+6.0 |
| 2012 | 44.6% | 53.9% | R+9.3 | R+3.5 |
| 2008 | 46.6% | 52.4% | R+5.8 | D+14.5 |
| 2004 | 39.5% | 59.8% | R+20.3 | R+4.2 |
| 2000 | 40.6% | 56.7% | R+16.1 | R+15.1 |
| 1996 | 46.3% | 47.3% | R+1.0 | D+0.9 |
| 1992 | 39.7% | 41.6% | R+1.9 | D+6.1 |
| 1988 | 45.7% | 53.6% | R+7.9 | D+15.3 |
| 1984 | 38.3% | 61.5% | R+23.2 | R+13.1 |
| 1980 | 43.4% | 53.5% | R+10.1 | R+18.6 |
| 1976 | 53.6% | 45.1% | D+8.5 | D+33.8 |
| 1972 | 37.1% | 62.4% | R+25.3 | R+34.0 |
| 1968 | 49.0% | 40.2% | D+8.7 | R+25.0 |
| 1964 | 66.8% | 33.0% | D+33.7 | D+27.0 |
| 1960 | 53.1% | 46.3% | D+6.8 | D+25.7 |
| 1956 | 40.3% | 59.2% | R+18.9 | R+2.4 |
| 1952 | 41.6% | 58.1% | R+16.6 | R+34.7 |
| 1948 | 56.1% | 37.9% | D+18.2 | — |
What defines San Antonio?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Houston
Educated rural democratic
El Paso (Las Cruces)
Diverse rural competitive
Corpus Christi
Rural Republican 2
Fresno-Visalia
Diverse rural competitive
Dallas-Fort Worth
Educated rural democratic
Bakersfield
Diverse rural competitive
Laredo
Diverse rural competitive
Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen
Diverse rural competitive
Counties in San Antonio
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bexar | 2.1M | D+9.7 | 411,389 | 337,545 | 758,323 | 64.1% |
| Comal | 184K | R+45.5 | 27,680 | 74,756 | 103,491 | 8.8% |
| Guadalupe | 184K | R+29.5 | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,136 | 7.2% |
| Maverick | 58K | R+18.5 | 6,373 | 9,285 | 15,745 | 1.3% |
| Medina | 54K | R+42.7 | 6,950 | 17,464 | 24,617 | 2.1% |
| Kerr | 53K | R+54.3 | 6,315 | 21,615 | 28,170 | 2.4% |
| Wilson | 53K | R+53.7 | 6,247 | 20,894 | 27,275 | 2.3% |
| Atascosa | 51K | R+43.3 | 5,153 | 13,142 | 18,444 | 1.6% |
| Kendall | 49K | R+55.6 | 6,355 | 22,668 | 29,315 | 2.5% |
| Val Verde | 48K | R+26.6 | 5,282 | 9,162 | 14,588 | 1.2% |
| Uvalde | 25K | R+33.4 | 3,218 | 6,482 | 9,772 | 0.8% |
| Bandera | 22K | R+61.8 | 2,532 | 10,939 | 13,600 | 1.1% |
| Lavaca | 21K | R+76.1 | 1,235 | 9,215 | 10,491 | 0.9% |
| Dewitt | 20K | R+67.0 | 1,270 | 6,515 | 7,825 | 0.7% |
| Gonzales | 20K | R+54.8 | 1,729 | 5,981 | 7,755 | 0.7% |
| Frio | 19K | R+24.5 | 1,848 | 3,060 | 4,945 | 0.4% |
| Karnes | 15K | R+58.1 | 1,051 | 4,001 | 5,075 | 0.4% |
| Zavala | 9K | D+14.4 | 1,984 | 1,482 | 3,492 | 0.3% |
| Dimmit | 8K | D+3.3 | 1,765 | 1,653 | 3,427 | 0.3% |
| Goliad | 7K | R+60.2 | 778 | 3,178 | 3,987 | 0.3% |
| La Salle | 7K | R+20.5 | 933 | 1,417 | 2,360 | 0.2% |
| Kinney | 3K | R+50.5 | 346 | 1,063 | 1,419 | 0.1% |
| Real | 3K | R+66.9 | 315 | 1,625 | 1,958 | 0.2% |
| Edwards | 1K | R+73.2 | 133 | 869 | 1,005 | 0.1% |
| Mcmullen | 700 | R+84.4 | 37 | 448 | 487 | 0.0% |
25 countiesTotal votes: 1,182,702
Ask the Historian
Explore San Antonio's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
- Swung 8.8 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | San Antonio | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 55.4% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 32.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 6.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.7% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
52.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +15.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 52.6% | — | — | |
| 17.0% | 32.6% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 6.9% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 6.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.4% | — | — |
| 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the San Antonio media market? 2,980,616 residents across 25 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
3.0M
Share of U.S. population
0.89%
Voting-age population
73.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$75,372
Poverty rate
13.9%
College degree
30.9%
Homeownership
64.1%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
36.2 yrs
Age 18–29
16.8%
Age 65+
14.4%
Foreign born
12.4%
Non-English at home
34.7%
English only
65.3%
Turnout in San Antonio
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
53.9%
+0.8pp
2,194,966
1988–2024
How competitive is San Antonio?
Tilt RAvg margin: R+4.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+5.8
2012
R+9.3
2016
R+3.3
2020
R+0.4
2024
R+9.2
8.9pp
0
R+5.6
Do voters in San Antonio split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Moderate splitting (67/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+9.2 | R+3.1 | 6.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 7.3pp
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