Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
26K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+57.3
TURNOUT
57.4%
#143 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$66K
COLLEGE+
21%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 17.6pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 22pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Demographically distinctive: 21% college+ (-15pp vs national)
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%