Safe Republican — shifted 11.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
17K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+52.1
TURNOUT
63.5%
#87 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$72K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 14.0pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 22% college+ (-14pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 9pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%