Safe Republican — shifted 16.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 15.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(14) | 81.2% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 1.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 22.1% | 53.2% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.3% | 34.3% |
| Other | 3.3% | 7.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.7% | 4.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.5% | 3.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 58.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+26.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.9 |
| 2016 | Clinton+7.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+5.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+9.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.9 |
Val Verde, Texas is a county that has a population of 47,741. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+26.6. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36.2% | 62.8% | R+26.6 | R+16.7 |
| 2020 | 44.3% | 54.2% | R+9.9 | R+17.8 |
| 2016 | 51.1% | 43.3% | D+7.9 | D+2.5 |
| 2012 | 52.0% | 46.6% | D+5.4 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 54.5% | 44.9% | D+9.6 | D+28.3 |
| 2004 | 40.3% | 59.1% | R+18.8 | R+8.6 |
| 2000 | 44.1% | 54.2% | R+10.2 | R+22.1 |
| 1996 | 53.0% | 41.1% | D+11.9 | D+6.1 |
| 1992 | 43.2% | 37.3% | D+5.9 | D+6.5 |
| 1988 | 49.4% | 50.0% | R+0.6 | D+20.3 |
| 1984 | 39.4% | 60.4% | R+21.0 | R+10.9 |
| 1980 | 44.0% | 54.0% | R+10.0 | R+23.9 |
| 1976 | 56.5% | 42.6% | D+13.8 | D+46.5 |
| 1972 | 33.5% | 66.2% | R+32.7 | R+55.4 |
| 1968 | 56.2% | 33.6% | D+22.7 | R+22.4 |
| 1964 | 72.5% | 27.5% | D+45.1 | D+31.2 |
| 1960 | 56.9% | 43.0% | D+13.8 | D+15.7 |
| 1956 | 48.9% | 50.8% | R+1.9 | D+0.4 |
| 1952 | 48.8% | 51.1% | R+2.3 | R+31.1 |
| 1948 | 62.8% | 34.0% | D+28.8 | — |
Val Verde has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%