How did FL-07, Florida vote in the 2024 presidential election?

FL-07, Florida voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+3.6. The Democratic candidate received 203,342 votes and the Republican candidate received 188,763 out of 399,158 total votes cast, a 6.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is FL-07, Florida's political history?

FL-07, Florida has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 7.1 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of FL-07, Florida?

FL-07, Florida has a population of 789,605 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 60.6% non-Hispanic white, 21.9% Hispanic, 9.7% Black. About 37% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $81,536.

Florida's 7th Congressional District

Florida · Latest: 2024↑ D+4.0 vs 2022

Leans Republican — flipped 3 times in 25 elections

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POPULATION
790K
HOUSE MARGIN
R+13.1
2024
PRES MARGIN
D+3.6
2024
LEAN
Lean D
COLLEGE+
37%

Place Story

What defines Florida's 7th Congressional District

Methodology

Leans Democratic since 2008
- Lean D
- 5 straight D wins
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 27.1pp ahead of House
- Divergence 27.1pp in 2008
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Biggest swing: D+7.1 in 2016
- 2012 → 2016

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside FL-07 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Historian Query

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Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Florida's 7th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

FL-07Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 60.6%Hispanic 21.9%Black 9.7%Asian 4.1%Multiracial 3.5%

Group	FL-07	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	60.6%	50.4%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	21.9%	27.4%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	9.7%	15.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	4.1%	2.9%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	3.5%	3.7%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.6%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

FL-07 vs Florida vs National790K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

790K

local

790KState 22.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.24%

local

0.24%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.7%

local

79.7%State 78.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$81,536

local

$81,536State $75,325National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.2%

local

9.2%State 12.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.9%

local

36.9%State 34.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.7%

local

71.7%State 67.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.1 yrs

local

42.1 yrsState 43.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.8%

local

13.8%State 14.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.0%

local

20.0%State 21.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.6%

local

12.6%State 21.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.6%

local

20.6%State 30.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

79.4%

local

79.4%State 69.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in FL-07

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.4%

vs Previous

-2.7pp

Voting-Age Pop

629,679

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is FL-07?

Lean DAvg margin: D+7.1 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+3.1

2012

D+0.1

2016

D+7.2

2020

D+10.4

2024

D+3.6

Elasticity

10.3pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+4.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in FL-07 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (26/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	D+3.7	R+13.0	16.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.5pp

Florida Comparison Set

Other Florida Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

54 sibling districts

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