How did FL-27, Florida vote in the 2024 presidential election?

FL-27, Florida voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+14.9. The Democratic candidate received 142,003 votes and the Republican candidate received 192,275 out of 338,156 total votes cast, a 14.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is FL-27, Florida's political history?

FL-27, Florida has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. Democrats have won 3 and Republicans 2 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 17.3 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of FL-27, Florida?

FL-27, Florida has a population of 768,406 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 17.1% non-Hispanic white, 73.7% Hispanic, 5.4% Black.

Which places are most similar to FL-27, Florida?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to FL-27, Florida are TX-15, FL-28, FL-26. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Florida's 27th Congressional District

Florida

Leans Republican — presidential lean R+14.9 in 2024

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POPULATION
768K
PRES MARGIN
R+14.9
2024
LEAN
Tossup

Place Story

What defines Florida's 27th Congressional District

Methodology

Genuine tossup
- Tossup
Full-spectrum contest: persuasion, turnout, coalition.
Biggest swing: R+17.3 in 2020
- 2016 → 2020
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Demographically distinctive: 74% Hispanic (+54pp vs national)
- 74% Hispanic (+54pp vs national)
- 17% non-Hispanic white (-40pp vs national)

District in State Context

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Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside FL-27 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

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Peer discovery

Similar districts

Districts with comparable demographics and electoral dynamics.

TBD_7

TX-15

Texas

Similarity99%

+7 more

FL-28 and others

Similarity0%

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Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Florida's 27th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

FL-27Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 73.7%White (Non-Hispanic) 17.1%Black 5.4%Asian 2.0%Multiracial 1.5%

Group	FL-27	State	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	73.7%	27.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	17.1%	50.4%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	5.4%	15.1%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	2.1%	—	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	2.0%	2.9%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.5%	3.7%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

FL-27 vs Florida vs National768K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

768K

local

768KState 22.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.23%

local

0.23%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

82.7%

local

82.7%State 78.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState $75,325National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 12.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 34.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 67.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 43.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 14.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 21.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 21.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 30.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

N/A

local

N/AState 69.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in FL-27

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

53.2%

vs Previous

-0.6pp

Voting-Age Pop

635,278

History

2008–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is FL-27?

TossupAvg margin: D+0.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+2.7

2012

D+5.0

2016

D+17.3

2020

D+0.0

2024

R+14.9

Elasticity

32.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+1.0

Florida Comparison Set

Other Florida Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

54 sibling districts

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