How did TX-02, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

TX-02, Texas voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+22.9. The Democratic candidate received 255,396 votes and the Republican candidate received 409,462 out of 673,685 total votes cast, a 1.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is TX-02, Texas's political history?

TX-02, Texas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 14.0 points in 2016.

What are the demographics of TX-02, Texas?

TX-02, Texas has a population of 766,732 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 49.2% non-Hispanic white, 28.6% Hispanic, 11.7% Black.

Which places are most similar to TX-02, Texas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to TX-02, Texas are TX-38, TX-17, TX-22. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Texas's 2nd Congressional District

Texas

Safe Republican — presidential lean R+22.9 in 2024

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POPULATION
767K
PRES MARGIN
R+22.9
2024
LEAN
Safe R

Place Story

What defines Texas's 2nd Congressional District

Methodology

Reliably Republican since 2008
- Safe R
- 5 straight R wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: D+14.0 in 2016
- 2012 → 2016
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.

District in State Context

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2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

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Peer discovery

Similar districts

Districts with comparable demographics and electoral dynamics.

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TX-38

Texas

Similarity98%

+7 more

TX-17 and others

Similarity0%

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“How has Texas's 2nd Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

TX-02Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 49.2%Hispanic 28.6%Black 11.7%Asian 6.3%Multiracial 3.2%Native American 0.9%

Group	TX-02	State	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	49.2%	39.1%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	28.6%	39.7%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(13)	11.7%	12.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	6.3%	5.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	3.2%	2.5%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.2%	—	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.9%	0.7%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2)	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

Texas's 2nd Congressional District

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TX-38

+7 more

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Demographics

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