How did TX-16, Texas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

TX-16, Texas voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+15.8. The Democratic candidate received 262,595 votes and the Republican candidate received 190,200 out of 459,608 total votes cast, a 19.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What are the demographics of TX-16, Texas?

TX-16, Texas has a population of 776,702 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 11.4% non-Hispanic white, 82.2% Hispanic, 3.4% Black. About 27% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $60,388.

Which places are most similar to TX-16, Texas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar congressional districts to TX-16, Texas are TX-29, CA-33, TX-34. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Texas's 16th Congressional District

Q: What is TX-16, Texas's political history?

TX-16, Texas has 5 presidential elections on record, spanning 2008 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 19.7 points in 2024.

Texas · Latest: 2024↓ R+7.9 vs 2022

Safe Democratic — 25D, 0R in 25 House elections

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	11.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	82.2%
▶Black / African American(11)	3.4%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.5%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.7%

View full demographics →

Key demographics

Metric	Value
Median household income	$60K
Bachelor's or higher	27.1%
English only at home	30.8%
Other language at home	62.7%
Foreign-born	22.5%

View full demographics →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	D+15.8
2020	D+35.4
2016	D+41.1
2012	D+30.8
2008	D+30.6

View full election history →

Texas's 16th Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 776,702. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+15.8. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.

Texas's 16th Congressional District Presidential Election Results, 2008–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	57.1%	41.4%	D+15.8	R+19.7
2020	67.0%	31.5%	D+35.4	R+5.7
2016	67.6%	26.5%	D+41.1	D+10.3
2012	65.4%	34.6%	D+30.8	D+0.2
2008	65.0%	34.4%	D+30.6	—

Political Identity

What defines TX-16?

TX-16 is a solidly Democratic urban geography that has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. It shifted 19.7pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 777K residents are moderately educated (27% hold a bachelor's degree).

District in State Context

Open in Cartographer

Precinct Deep Dive

2024 / 2020 precinct vintages

See how each split precinct fragment inside TX-16 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Similarity Explorer

Similar Districts

Nearest neighbors matched on demographic profile, presidential history, House performance, and ticket-splitting behavior.

1 visible match7 premium continuations

TX-29Texas

Lean Dem, Dense Suburban

Similarity score97%

Locked continuation

7 more similar districts

Continue the similarity set with additional districts matched on demographics, presidential behavior, and House profile.

CA-33TX-34IL-04CA-35

Unlock with Pro$33/mo

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore this district's political evolution with the Historian

“How has Texas's 16th Congressional District voted in House elections since 2000?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
Highly elastic — margins have ranged 25.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Swung 19.7 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

TX-16Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 82.2%White (Non-Hispanic) 11.4%Black 3.4%Asian 1.4%Native American 0.9%Multiracial 0.7%

Group	TX-16	State	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	82.2%	39.7%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	11.4%	39.1%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(11)	3.4%	12.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	5.6%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	0.9%	0.7%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	0.7%	2.5%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.5%	—	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

TX-16 vs Texas vs National777K residents

27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

777K

local

777KState 30.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.23%

local

0.23%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.9%

local

72.9%State 73.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$60,388

local

$60,388State $80,443National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.4%

local

18.4%State 13.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.1%

local

27.1%State 33.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

62.8%

local

62.8%State 62.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.9 yrs

local

33.9 yrsState 35.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.6%

local

18.6%State 16.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%State 13.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.5%

local

22.5%State 17.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.0%

local

67.0%State 35.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.0%

local

33.0%State 64.9%National 77.8%

Competitiveness

How competitive is TX-16?

Safe DAvg margin: D+30.8 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+30.6

2012

D+30.8

2016

D+41.1

2020

D+35.4

2024

D+15.8

Elasticity

25.4pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+30.7

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in TX-16 split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs House	D+15.8	D+19.1	3.3pp

Max divergence: 51.5pp|Avg divergence: 21.4pp

Texas Comparison Set

Other Texas Districts

Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.

74 sibling districts

Upgrade Path

Unlock District Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo