Terre Haute
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 369K residents — 14 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.3% | 55.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.2% | 20.7% |
| Catholic | 7.4% | 18.6% |
| Other | 1.2% | 3.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 60.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+45.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+42.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+42.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+23.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+4.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+24.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+1.0 |
Terre Haute is a media market that has a population of 369,227. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+45.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.4% | 71.8% | R+45.3 | R+2.4 |
| 2020 | 27.6% | 70.5% | R+42.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 26.5% | 68.5% | R+42.0 | R+18.8 |
| 2012 | 37.3% | 60.4% | R+23.1 | R+18.8 |
| 2008 | 47.0% | 51.3% | R+4.3 | D+19.8 |
| 2004 | 37.6% | 61.6% | R+24.1 | R+8.3 |
| 2000 | 41.4% | 57.1% | R+15.7 | R+14.6 |
| 1996 | 42.7% | 43.8% | R+1.1 | R+2.1 |
| 1992 | 40.2% | 39.3% | D+1.0 | D+14.1 |
| 1988 | 43.2% | 56.3% | R+13.1 | D+11.6 |
| 1984 | 37.3% | 62.1% | R+24.8 | R+8.3 |
| 1980 | 39.3% | 55.7% | R+16.4 | R+16.5 |
| 1976 | 49.6% | 49.6% | Even | D+28.2 |
| 1972 | 35.6% | 63.8% | R+28.1 | R+17.9 |
| 1968 | 39.0% | 49.3% | R+10.3 | R+25.7 |
| 1964 | 57.6% | 42.1% | D+15.4 | D+25.1 |
| 1960 | 45.0% | 54.7% | R+9.7 | D+2.6 |
| 1956 | 43.7% | 56.0% | R+12.3 | R+2.2 |
| 1952 | 44.7% | 54.8% | R+10.1 | R+14.5 |
| 1948 | 51.4% | 47.0% | D+4.4 | — |
What defines Terre Haute?
Terre Haute has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (20% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk
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Clarksburg-Weston
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Joplin-Pittsburg
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St. Joseph
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Evansville
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Bluefield-Beckley-Oak Hill
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Wheeling-Steubenville
Small-town rural republican
Counties in Terre Haute
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vigo | 106K | R+18.1 | 16,338 | 23,738 | 40,914 | 25.8% |
| Knox | 36K | R+50.4 | 3,625 | 11,236 | 15,110 | 9.5% |
| Daviess | 34K | R+64.3 | 1,963 | 9,322 | 11,449 | 7.2% |
| Greene | 31K | R+53.7 | 3,270 | 11,132 | 14,633 | 9.2% |
| Clay | 26K | R+56.9 | 2,495 | 9,354 | 12,055 | 7.6% |
| Sullivan | 21K | R+52.7 | 2,006 | 6,639 | 8,795 | 5.6% |
| Crawford | 19K | R+52.4 | 2,048 | 6,727 | 8,935 | 5.6% |
| Parke | 16K | R+56.9 | 1,371 | 5,158 | 6,654 | 4.2% |
| Richland | 16K | R+53.4 | 1,747 | 5,889 | 7,755 | 4.9% |
| Vermillion | 15K | R+44.7 | 1,928 | 5,174 | 7,256 | 4.6% |
| Clark | 15K | R+51.2 | 1,927 | 6,130 | 8,206 | 5.2% |
| Lawrence | 15K | R+56.2 | 1,283 | 4,715 | 6,110 | 3.9% |
| Martin | 10K | R+60.7 | 933 | 3,961 | 4,992 | 3.2% |
| Jasper | 9K | R+65.2 | 912 | 4,449 | 5,425 | 3.4% |
14 countiesTotal votes: 158,289
Ask the Historian
Explore Terre Haute's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 45.3% margin
- Shifted 22.2 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Terre Haute | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.5% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 2.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 2.8% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
39.8%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.3% | 55.9% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 20.7% | — | — | |
| 7.4% | 18.6% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 3.0% | — | — | |
| 0.6% | 1.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 60.2% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Terre Haute media market? 369,227 residents across 14 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
369K
Share of U.S. population
0.11%
Voting-age population
73.4%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$61,559
Poverty rate
14.7%
College degree
20.3%
Homeownership
72.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.5 yrs
Age 18–29
16.1%
Age 65+
18.7%
Foreign born
2.0%
Non-English at home
4.7%
English only
95.3%
Turnout in Terre Haute
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
58.4%
-2.5pp
271,169
1988–2024
How competitive is Terre Haute?
Safe RAvg margin: R+43.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+4.3
2012
R+23.1
2016
R+42.0
2020
R+42.9
2024
R+45.3
41.0pp
0
R+31.5
Do voters in Terre Haute split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+45.3 | R+32.1 | 13.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+39.8 | R+32.1 | 7.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+45.3 | R+39.8 | 5.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 21.5pp
Located In
Terre Haute sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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