How did Fargo-Valley City vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fargo-Valley City voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+23.8. Kamala D Harris received 121,919 votes and Donald Trump received 200,682 out of 330,588 total votes cast, a 3.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fargo-Valley City's political history?

Fargo-Valley City has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 11 and Republicans 29 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 57.2 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Fargo-Valley City?

Fargo-Valley City has a population of 663,744 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.1% non-Hispanic white, 4.1% Hispanic, 3.4% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,190.

Which places are most similar to Fargo-Valley City?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Fargo-Valley City are Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney, Columbia-Jefferson City, Sioux Falls(Mitchell). Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Fargo-Valley City

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.8 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 664K residents — 35 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.1%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	4.1%
▶Black / African American(13)	3.4%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	2.2%
Multiracial / Other	4.4%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Mainline Protestant	24.6%	45.6%
Catholic	15.9%	29.4%
Evangelical Protestant	12.2%	22.5%
Other	1.3%	2.4%
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.1%
Non-religious	45.9%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+23.8
2020	Trump+20.0
2016	Trump+23.1
2012	Romney+7.4
2008	Obama+1.7
2004	Bush+18.3
2000	Bush+20.4
1996	Dole+0.2
1992	Bush+6.3

View full election history →

Fargo-Valley City is a media market that has a population of 663,744. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+23.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Fargo-Valley City Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	36.9%	60.7%	R+23.8	R+3.8
2020	38.6%	58.6%	R+20.0	D+3.1
2016	33.7%	56.8%	R+23.1	R+15.8
2012	44.9%	52.3%	R+7.4	R+9.1
2008	49.7%	48.0%	D+1.7	D+20.0
2004	40.1%	58.4%	R+18.3	D+2.2
2000	36.5%	57.0%	R+20.4	R+20.2
1996	43.9%	44.1%	R+0.2	D+6.1
1992	36.0%	42.3%	R+6.3	D+0.3
1988	46.3%	52.9%	R+6.6	D+13.1
1984	39.7%	59.4%	R+19.7	D+2.6
1980	33.7%	56.0%	R+22.2	R+23.2
1976	49.3%	48.3%	D+1.0	D+17.1
1972	41.1%	57.2%	R+16.1	R+10.1
1968	44.4%	50.4%	R+6.0	R+27.9
1964	60.9%	39.0%	D+21.9	D+28.2
1960	46.8%	53.1%	R+6.3	D+5.0
1956	44.3%	55.6%	R+11.3	D+15.4
1952	36.3%	63.1%	R+26.7	R+35.4
1948	52.4%	43.8%	D+8.6	—

Political Identity

What defines Fargo-Valley City?

Fargo-Valley City has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Lincoln & Hastings-Kearney

Small-town rural republican 3

R+29.3

Similarity score93%

Columbia-Jefferson City

Small-town rural republican 3

R+27.2

Similarity score85%

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Small-town rural republican 3

R+30.4

Similarity score85%

Topeka

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.5

Similarity score83%

Minot-Bismarck-Dickinson (Williston)

Small-town rural republican

R+51.8

Similarity score83%

Des Moines-Ames

Small-town rural republican 3

R+9.9

Similarity score79%

Cincinnati

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.0

Similarity score79%

Idaho Fals-Pocatllo(Jcksn)

Rural Republican 2

R+41.4

Similarity score78%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fargo-Valley City

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cass	193K	R+8.3	40,304	47,873	90,851	27.5%
Grand Forks	73K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	9.5%
Clay	66K	D+0.5	16,121	15,965	32,874	9.9%
Otter Tail	60K	R+34.1	11,752	24,276	36,736	11.1%
Becker	35K	R+33.1	6,435	12,961	19,739	6.0%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	4.7%
Stutsman	22K	R+44.3	2,692	7,185	10,134	3.1%
Richland	17K	R+37.6	2,473	5,576	8,261	2.5%
Roseau	15K	R+49.3	2,093	6,279	8,499	2.6%
Pennington	14K	R+31.4	2,439	4,756	7,381	2.2%
Ramsey	12K	R+40.0	1,513	3,609	5,239	1.6%
Barnes	11K	R+35.0	1,661	3,531	5,339	1.6%
Walsh	10K	R+44.8	1,173	3,186	4,496	1.4%
Marshall	9K	R+51.6	1,177	3,774	5,031	1.5%
Clearwater	9K	R+50.0	1,169	3,575	4,814	1.5%
Traill	8K	R+31.4	1,359	2,650	4,115	1.2%
Pembina	7K	R+52.9	704	2,350	3,112	0.9%
Wilkin	6K	R+38.9	986	2,290	3,353	1.0%
Norman	6K	R+22.2	1,233	1,963	3,294	1.0%
Benson	6K	R+18.4	795	1,163	2,002	0.6%
Ransom	6K	R+28.0	920	1,661	2,649	0.8%
Mahnomen	5K	R+8.7	975	1,165	2,183	0.7%
Dickey	5K	R+51.9	557	1,829	2,453	0.7%
Lamoure	4K	R+54.7	453	1,614	2,123	0.6%
Kittson	4K	R+25.0	911	1,535	2,500	0.8%
Red Lake	4K	R+37.0	642	1,425	2,116	0.6%
Lake of the Woods	4K	R+47.1	604	1,710	2,347	0.7%
Sargent	4K	R+32.4	663	1,325	2,043	0.6%
Cavalier	4K	R+48.8	491	1,461	1,987	0.6%
Foster	3K	R+58.2	335	1,326	1,703	0.5%
Nelson	3K	R+31.9	580	1,141	1,761	0.5%
Eddy	2K	R+45.3	316	862	1,205	0.4%
Griggs	2K	R+51.4	301	963	1,289	0.4%
Towner	2K	R+45.5	289	796	1,114	0.3%
Steele	2K	R+25.1	367	622	1,015	0.3%

35 countiesTotal votes: 330,588

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fargo-Valley City's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fargo-Valley City media market voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 23.8% margin
The 2008 election was decided by just 1.7 points — razor-thin
Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fargo-Valley CityCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.1%Multiracial 4.4%Hispanic 4.1%Black 3.4%Native American 2.2%Asian 1.8%

Group	Fargo-Valley City	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.1%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	4.4%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	4.1%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(13)	3.4%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	2.2%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	1.8%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.1%(358.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	24.6%	45.6%	—	—
Catholic	15.9%	29.4%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	12.2%	22.5%	—	—
Other	1.3%	2.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	45.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Fargo-Valley City media market? 663,744 residents across 35 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Fargo-Valley City vs National664K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

664K

local

664KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.20%

local

0.20%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.6%

local

73.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,190

local

$73,190National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.3%

local

33.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.5%

local

64.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7 yrs

local

37.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.2%

local

18.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.9%

local

17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.6%

local

4.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.4%

local

6.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.6%

local

93.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fargo-Valley City

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

67.7%

vs Previous

+1.2pp

Voting-Age Pop

488,450

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Fargo-Valley City?

Safe RAvg margin: R+22.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+1.7

2012

R+7.4

2016

R+23.1

2020

R+20.0

2024

R+23.8

Elasticity

25.6pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+14.5

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fargo-Valley City split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+15.5	R+29.1	13.6pp
President vs Senate	R+23.8	R+15.5	8.3pp
President vs Governor	R+23.8	R+29.1	5.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 23.4pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fargo-Valley City sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)North Dakota(State)

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