Amherst Town-Northampton, MA
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 162K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 13.3% | 55.5% |
| Other | 5.5% | 22.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.1% | 17.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 0.8% | 3.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.2% | 1.0% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 75.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+41.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+46.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+39.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+43.8 |
| 2008 | Obama+45.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+40.8 |
| 2000 | Gore+28.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+41.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+31.7 |
Amherst Town-Northampton, MA is a metro area that has a population of 162,028. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+41.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 69.2% | 27.5% | D+41.7 | R+5.0 |
| 2020 | 72.1% | 25.4% | D+46.8 | D+7.5 |
| 2016 | 64.7% | 25.4% | D+39.2 | R+4.5 |
| 2012 | 70.3% | 26.6% | D+43.8 | R+1.8 |
| 2008 | 71.5% | 25.9% | D+45.6 | D+4.8 |
| 2004 | 69.4% | 28.6% | D+40.8 | D+12.6 |
| 2000 | 56.2% | 28.0% | D+28.2 | R+13.2 |
| 1996 | 64.1% | 22.6% | D+41.4 | D+9.8 |
| 1992 | 54.1% | 22.4% | D+31.7 | D+7.8 |
| 1988 | 61.4% | 37.5% | D+23.9 | D+12.2 |
| 1984 | 55.7% | 44.0% | D+11.7 | D+0.9 |
| 1980 | 45.7% | 35.0% | D+10.8 | R+10.4 |
| 1976 | 58.2% | 37.0% | D+21.2 | D+13.7 |
| 1972 | 53.3% | 45.7% | D+7.5 | R+15.4 |
| 1968 | 58.7% | 35.8% | D+22.9 | R+24.5 |
| 1964 | 73.5% | 26.1% | D+47.4 | D+33.3 |
| 1960 | 56.9% | 42.9% | D+14.0 | D+38.1 |
| 1956 | 37.9% | 61.9% | R+24.1 | R+7.4 |
| 1952 | 41.6% | 58.2% | R+16.6 | R+18.5 |
| 1948 | 50.3% | 48.4% | D+1.9 | — |
What defines Amherst Town-Northampton, MA?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
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Counties in Amherst Town-Northampton, MA
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hampshire | 162K | D+41.7 | 58,617 | 23,256 | 84,720 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 84,720
Ask the Historian
Explore Amherst Town-Northampton, MA's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 41.7% margin
- College attainment is 52% — 19pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.3% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 7.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.3% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.6% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
24.1%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +47.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 55.5% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 22.8% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 17.1% | — | — | |
| 0.8% | 3.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.2% | 1.0% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.8% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 75.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Amherst Town-Northampton, MA metro area? 162,028 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
52% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
162K
Share of U.S. population
0.05%
Voting-age population
71.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$87,001
Poverty rate
11.3%
College degree
51.6%
Homeownership
67.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
37.4 yrs
Age 18–29
28.5%
Age 65+
19.4%
Foreign born
8.4%
Non-English at home
12.9%
English only
87.1%
Turnout in Amherst Town-Northampton, MA
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
72.9%
-2.7pp
116,218
1988–2024
How competitive is Amherst Town-Northampton, MA?
Safe DAvg margin: D+42.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+45.6
2012
D+43.8
2016
D+39.2
2020
D+46.8
2024
D+41.7
7.5pp
0
D+43.4
Do voters in Amherst Town-Northampton, MA split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+41.7 | D+38.7 | 3.0pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 19.3pp
Located In
Amherst Town-Northampton, MA sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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