Burlington-South Burlington, VT
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 228K residents — 3 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 1.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 30.1% | 62.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.3% | 19.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.9% | 10.1% |
| Other | 4.1% | 8.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 51.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+41.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+44.3 |
| 2016 | Clinton+34.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+37.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+40.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+24.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+15.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+26.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.8 |
Burlington-South Burlington, VT is a metro area that has a population of 227,846. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+41.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 68.9% | 27.4% | D+41.5 | R+2.8 |
| 2020 | 70.6% | 26.3% | D+44.3 | D+9.9 |
| 2016 | 60.8% | 26.5% | D+34.3 | R+3.0 |
| 2012 | 67.5% | 30.1% | D+37.4 | R+2.8 |
| 2008 | 69.1% | 28.9% | D+40.2 | D+15.5 |
| 2004 | 61.2% | 36.5% | D+24.7 | D+9.4 |
| 2000 | 53.2% | 38.0% | D+15.2 | R+11.3 |
| 1996 | 56.1% | 29.6% | D+26.5 | D+5.7 |
| 1992 | 48.5% | 27.7% | D+20.8 | D+18.2 |
| 1988 | 50.6% | 48.0% | D+2.6 | D+14.7 |
| 1984 | 43.3% | 55.4% | R+12.2 | R+13.2 |
| 1980 | 41.3% | 40.3% | D+1.0 | D+9.6 |
| 1976 | 44.3% | 52.9% | R+8.6 | D+13.0 |
| 1972 | 38.7% | 60.3% | R+21.6 | R+27.3 |
| 1968 | 50.9% | 45.3% | D+5.7 | R+36.7 |
| 1964 | 71.2% | 28.8% | D+42.3 | D+29.9 |
| 1960 | 56.2% | 43.8% | D+12.4 | D+28.7 |
| 1956 | 41.9% | 58.1% | R+16.2 | D+0.2 |
| 1952 | 41.5% | 58.0% | R+16.5 | R+20.0 |
| 1948 | 51.0% | 47.5% | D+3.5 | — |
What defines Burlington-South Burlington, VT?
It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
Constituent Counties
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Counties in Burlington-South Burlington, VT
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chittenden | 170K | D+53.1 | 72,656 | 20,937 | 97,329 | 75.4% |
| Franklin | 51K | D+3.0 | 13,280 | 12,490 | 26,743 | 20.7% |
| Grand Isle | 7K | D+20.9 | 2,940 | 1,893 | 5,001 | 3.9% |
3 countiesTotal votes: 129,073
Ask the Historian
Explore Burlington-South Burlington, VT's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 41.5% margin
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.0% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.4% | 6.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 1.8% | 12.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
48.6%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 62.0% | — | — | |
| 9.3% | 19.2% | — | — | |
| 4.9% | 10.1% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 8.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Burlington-South Burlington, VT metro area? 227,846 residents across 3 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
50% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 17pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+25 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
228K
Share of U.S. population
0.07%
Voting-age population
76.9%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$93,519
Poverty rate
9.8%
College degree
50.5%
Homeownership
67.6%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.5 yrs
Age 18–29
20.1%
Age 65+
17.3%
Foreign born
6.5%
Non-English at home
7.7%
English only
92.3%
Turnout in Burlington-South Burlington, VT
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
73.6%
-0.3pp
175,294
1988–2024
How competitive is Burlington-South Burlington, VT?
Safe DAvg margin: D+40.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+40.2
2012
D+37.4
2016
D+34.3
2020
D+44.3
2024
D+41.5
9.9pp
0
D+39.5
Do voters in Burlington-South Burlington, VT split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+41.5 | R+48.6 | 90.1pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+39.6 | R+48.6 | 88.2pp |
| President vs Senate | D+41.5 | D+39.6 | 1.9pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 46.9pp
Located In
Burlington-South Burlington, VT sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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