Auburn-Opelika, AL
Safe Republican — shifted 8.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 200K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 27.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 17.2% | 46.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.4% | 20.1% |
| Black Protestant | 7.2% | 19.4% |
| Catholic | 3.3% | 9.0% |
| Other | 1.9% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 63.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+11.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+10.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+4.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+4.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+2.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.8 |
Auburn-Opelika, AL is a metro area that has a population of 199,825. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.4% | 58.9% | R+19.5 | R+8.6 |
| 2020 | 43.6% | 54.6% | R+11.0 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 43.0% | 53.8% | R+10.8 | R+6.1 |
| 2012 | 46.9% | 51.7% | R+4.8 | R+0.7 |
| 2008 | 47.5% | 51.6% | R+4.1 | D+6.1 |
| 2004 | 44.5% | 54.7% | R+10.2 | R+7.5 |
| 2000 | 47.2% | 50.0% | R+2.7 | R+5.1 |
| 1996 | 48.1% | 45.8% | D+2.3 | R+4.5 |
| 1992 | 47.5% | 40.7% | D+6.8 | D+15.7 |
| 1988 | 44.8% | 53.7% | R+8.9 | R+5.0 |
| 1984 | 47.5% | 51.3% | R+3.8 | R+18.1 |
| 1980 | 54.1% | 39.8% | D+14.3 | D+2.6 |
| 1976 | 54.8% | 43.0% | D+11.7 | D+41.1 |
| 1972 | 34.1% | 63.4% | R+29.3 | R+63.5 |
| 1968 | 47.6% | 13.5% | D+34.1 | D+60.0 |
| 1964 | 37.1% | 62.9% | R+25.9 | R+48.9 |
| 1960 | 61.1% | 38.1% | D+23.0 | R+0.1 |
| 1956 | 59.7% | 36.6% | D+23.1 | R+7.8 |
| 1952 | 65.4% | 34.5% | D+30.9 | R+9.8 |
| 1948 | 46.8% | 6.1% | D+40.7 | — |
What defines Auburn-Opelika, AL?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Auburn-Opelika, AL
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Shifted 14.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
- Swung 8.6 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Auburn-Opelika, AL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 27.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -41.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.2% | 46.4% | — | — | |
| 7.4% | 20.1% | — | — | |
| 7.2% | 19.4% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 9.0% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 5.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 63.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Auburn-Opelika, AL metro area? 199,825 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Auburn-Opelika, AL
How competitive is Auburn-Opelika, AL?
Do voters in Auburn-Opelika, AL split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+25.1 | R+27.6 | 2.5pp |