Oxford, MS
Safe Republican — shifted 9.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 71K residents — 2 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 3.3% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 25.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.6% | 59.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.2% | 17.1% |
| Black Protestant | 8.0% | 16.7% |
| Catholic | 1.5% | 3.2% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 52.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+21.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+12.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+14.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+10.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+9.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.5 |
Oxford, MS is a metro area that has a population of 70,746. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+21.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.4% | 60.0% | R+21.6 | R+9.0 |
| 2020 | 42.8% | 55.4% | R+12.5 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 41.0% | 55.4% | R+14.4 | R+1.9 |
| 2012 | 43.0% | 55.5% | R+12.5 | R+1.6 |
| 2008 | 44.1% | 55.0% | R+10.9 | D+5.0 |
| 2004 | 41.5% | 57.5% | R+15.9 | R+6.2 |
| 2000 | 43.6% | 53.3% | R+9.7 | R+14.0 |
| 1996 | 48.6% | 44.4% | D+4.2 | D+1.8 |
| 1992 | 47.1% | 44.6% | D+2.5 | D+16.7 |
| 1988 | 42.6% | 56.9% | R+14.3 | D+5.5 |
| 1984 | 40.0% | 59.7% | R+19.8 | R+31.0 |
| 1980 | 54.2% | 42.9% | D+11.3 | D+0.1 |
| 1976 | 54.3% | 43.1% | D+11.2 | D+66.6 |
| 1972 | 21.7% | 77.1% | R+55.4 | R+61.8 |
| 1968 | 23.8% | 17.4% | D+6.3 | D+76.5 |
| 1964 | 14.9% | 85.1% | R+70.2 | R+84.8 |
| 1960 | 40.6% | 26.0% | D+14.6 | R+30.8 |
| 1956 | 67.8% | 22.5% | D+45.3 | D+6.2 |
| 1952 | 69.6% | 30.4% | D+39.2 | D+17.1 |
| 1948 | 24.8% | 2.7% | D+22.0 | — |
What defines Oxford, MS?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Counties in Oxford, MS
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 21.6% margin
- College attainment is 41% — 8pp above the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Democratic lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Oxford, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 25.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 3.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -61.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28.6% | 59.8% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 17.1% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 16.7% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.2% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 52.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Oxford, MS metro area? 70,746 residents across 2 counties.
Demographics
41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Oxford, MS
How competitive is Oxford, MS?
Do voters in Oxford, MS split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+21.6 | R+26.4 | 4.8pp |