Tuscaloosa, AL
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 279K residents — 4 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 56.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 34.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.1% | 68.2% |
| Black Protestant | 7.0% | 14.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.4% | 9.1% |
| Catholic | 2.5% | 5.2% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 51.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+15.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+12.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+8.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.9 |
Tuscaloosa, AL is a metro area that has a population of 278,526. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+15.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41.5% | 57.3% | R+15.8 | R+6.5 |
| 2020 | 44.7% | 54.0% | R+9.3 | D+3.0 |
| 2016 | 42.9% | 55.1% | R+12.2 | R+4.0 |
| 2012 | 45.4% | 53.6% | R+8.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2008 | 45.6% | 53.6% | R+7.9 | D+6.8 |
| 2004 | 42.3% | 57.0% | R+14.8 | R+8.3 |
| 2000 | 45.7% | 52.2% | R+6.5 | R+6.5 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 47.1% | Even | R+0.9 |
| 1992 | 44.9% | 44.0% | D+0.9 | D+12.0 |
| 1988 | 44.2% | 55.3% | R+11.1 | D+4.8 |
| 1984 | 41.4% | 57.3% | R+15.9 | R+23.0 |
| 1980 | 51.6% | 44.5% | D+7.1 | R+8.5 |
| 1976 | 57.0% | 41.4% | D+15.6 | D+46.8 |
| 1972 | 33.2% | 64.4% | R+31.2 | R+83.3 |
| 1968 | 62.6% | 10.5% | D+52.1 | D+94.7 |
| 1964 | 28.7% | 71.3% | R+42.6 | R+63.0 |
| 1960 | 59.7% | 39.3% | D+20.4 | R+5.4 |
| 1956 | 60.5% | 34.7% | D+25.8 | R+3.9 |
| 1952 | 64.3% | 34.6% | D+29.7 | R+12.5 |
| 1948 | 47.2% | 5.0% | D+42.2 | — |
What defines Tuscaloosa, AL?
Tuscaloosa, AL voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in Tuscaloosa, AL
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuscaloosa | 238K | R+20.3 | 33,399 | 50,724 | 85,256 | 80.8% |
| Pickens | 19K | R+23.3 | 3,388 | 5,465 | 8,912 | 8.4% |
| Hale | 15K | D+6.8 | 3,868 | 3,369 | 7,305 | 6.9% |
| Greene | 7K | D+55.7 | 3,133 | 885 | 4,039 | 3.8% |
4 countiesTotal votes: 105,512
Ask the Historian
Explore Tuscaloosa, AL's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 3.4 percentage points since the previous presidential election
- Swung 6.5 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Tuscaloosa, AL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 56.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 34.2% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 5.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
48.5%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -67.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33.1% | 68.2% | — | — | |
| 7.0% | 14.4% | — | — | |
| 4.4% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 5.2% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.0% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Tuscaloosa, AL metro area? 278,526 residents across 4 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
279K
Share of U.S. population
0.08%
Voting-age population
73.5%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$62,383
Poverty rate
18.1%
College degree
29.6%
Homeownership
63.0%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
34.1 yrs
Age 18–29
23.9%
Age 65+
15.0%
Foreign born
4.2%
Non-English at home
5.9%
English only
94.1%
Turnout in Tuscaloosa, AL
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
51.6%
-3.4pp
204,610
1988–2024
How competitive is Tuscaloosa, AL?
Likely RAvg margin: R+12.4 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+7.9
2012
R+8.3
2016
R+12.2
2020
R+9.3
2024
R+15.8
7.8pp
1
R+10.7
Do voters in Tuscaloosa, AL split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+19.6 | R+20.5 | 0.8pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 17.1pp
Located In
Tuscaloosa, AL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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