Auburn, NY
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 75K residents — 1 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.6% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 32.1% | 72.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.5% | 12.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.2% | 9.6% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 2.7% |
| Other | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Non-religious | 55.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+13.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+11.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+8.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+0.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.9 |
Auburn, NY is a metro area that has a population of 75,102. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+13.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.4% | 56.4% | R+13.0 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 44.3% | 53.6% | R+9.2 | D+2.4 |
| 2016 | 40.8% | 52.4% | R+11.6 | R+23.0 |
| 2012 | 54.6% | 43.2% | D+11.4 | D+2.9 |
| 2008 | 53.3% | 44.8% | D+8.5 | D+9.1 |
| 2004 | 48.6% | 49.2% | R+0.6 | R+6.6 |
| 2000 | 50.1% | 44.1% | D+6.0 | R+9.0 |
| 1996 | 49.8% | 34.8% | D+15.0 | D+12.1 |
| 1992 | 36.7% | 33.8% | D+2.9 | D+8.7 |
| 1988 | 46.6% | 52.5% | R+5.9 | D+21.5 |
| 1984 | 36.1% | 63.5% | R+27.4 | R+8.3 |
| 1980 | 35.7% | 54.8% | R+19.0 | D+0.2 |
| 1976 | 40.0% | 59.3% | R+19.3 | D+15.1 |
| 1972 | 32.7% | 67.1% | R+34.4 | R+28.2 |
| 1968 | 43.3% | 49.5% | R+6.2 | R+41.7 |
| 1964 | 67.7% | 32.2% | D+35.5 | D+44.0 |
| 1960 | 45.7% | 54.2% | R+8.4 | D+35.7 |
| 1956 | 27.9% | 72.1% | R+44.1 | R+6.4 |
| 1952 | 30.3% | 68.0% | R+37.7 | R+22.3 |
| 1948 | 40.9% | 56.4% | R+15.4 | — |
What defines Auburn, NY?
Auburn, NY has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (2D, 4R) — a genuine swing geography.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Seneca Falls, NY
Small-town rural republican 2
Augusta-Waterville, ME
Small-town rural republican 2
Freeport, IL
Small-town rural republican 2
Elmira, NY
Small-town rural republican 2
Bay City, MI
Small-town rural republican 2
Rutland, VT
Small-town rural republican
Bangor, ME
Small-town rural republican 2
Mason City, IA
Small-town rural republican 2
Counties in Auburn, NY
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cayuga | 75K | R+13.0 | 15,772 | 20,482 | 36,343 | 100.0% |
1 countiesTotal votes: 36,343
Ask the Historian
Explore Auburn, NY's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2012, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.4 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
- College attainment is 25% — 8pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Auburn, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 3.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
44.4%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +58.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 72.3% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 12.5% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 9.6% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.7% | — | — | |
| 1.1% | 2.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Auburn, NY metro area? 75,102 residents across 1 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
75K
Share of U.S. population
0.02%
Voting-age population
75.8%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$67,904
Poverty rate
13.5%
College degree
24.6%
Homeownership
71.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
43.8 yrs
Age 18–29
13.7%
Age 65+
21.3%
Foreign born
2.6%
Non-English at home
4.0%
English only
96.0%
Turnout in Auburn, NY
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
63.8%
-0.2pp
56,952
1988–2024
How competitive is Auburn, NY?
Likely RAvg margin: R+11.3 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+8.5
2012
D+11.4
2016
R+11.6
2020
R+9.2
2024
R+13.0
24.4pp
3
R+2.8
Do voters in Auburn, NY split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (26/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+13.0 | R+7.4 | 5.6pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 13.6pp
Located In
Auburn, NY sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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